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Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds

Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
@
Sunday, November 1
1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
SM rating 1467 · #18
saysFull matchup analysis →
ATL 42%TB 58%
Fair moneyline
+139 / -139
ATL / TB, no vig
Market win %
45% / 55%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +3 pts
SharpModels 58% · market 55% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1467
ATL / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something, so the injury list is the first place to look.

Game lines

Updated 9:01 AM ET
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 +118
BetRivers
 +114 +114 +110 +118 +110 +114 +108
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -132
Fanatics
 -135 -134 -135 -148 -132 -133 -133
Falcons
Spread
 +1.5-101
bet365
 +2.5-115 +2.5-115 +2-108 +2.5-110 +2-111 +1.5-101 +2.5-117
Buccaneers
Spread
 -2.5-105
DraftKings
 -2.5-105 -2.5-105 -2-110 -2.5-113 -2-111 -1.5-119 -2.5-108
Over
Total
 45.5-108
BetRivers
 46.5-108 45.5-110 46-110 45.5-108 46-111 46.5-109 45.5-117
Under
Total
 45.5-104
Kalshi
 46.5-112 45.5-110 46-108 45.5-114 46-111 46.5-111 45.5-104
Margin
Moneyline
 2.7% 4.0%3.8%4.8%5.3%4.3%3.7%4.9%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 +123
BetRivers
 +110 +110 +123 +110 +112
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -130
DraftKings
 -130 -136 -155 -132 -132
Falcons
Spread
 +1.5-109
BetRivers
 +0.5-110 +0.5-111 +1.5-109 +1.5-125 +0.5-110
Buccaneers
Spread
 -1.5+105
Fanatics
 -0.5-110 -0.5-115 -1.5-114 -1.5+105 -0.5-110
Over
Total
 23.5+104
BetRivers
 22.5-112 22.5-120 23.5+104 22.5-116 22.5-119
Under
Total
 22.5+100
FanDuel
 22.5-108 22.5+100 23.5-129 22.5-116 22.5-101
Margin
Moneyline
 1.3% 4.0%5.0%5.3%4.3%3.9%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 +100
FanDuel
 +100
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -116
FanDuel
 -116
Falcons
Spread
 +0.5-128
FanDuel
 +0.5-128
Buccaneers
Spread
 -0.5+100
FanDuel
 -0.5+100
Over
Total
 22.5-120
FanDuel
 22.5-120
Under
Total
 22.5+100
FanDuel
 22.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
 3.6% 3.6%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 +117
BetRivers
 +105 +106 +117 +100 +110
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -125
DraftKings
 -125 -130 -148 -132 -130
Falcons
Spread
 +0.5-139
BetRivers
 +0.5-148 +1.5-162 +0.5-139 +0.5-156 +0.5-141
Buccaneers
Spread
 -0.5+125
Fanatics
 -0.5+124 -1.5+132 -0.5+112 -0.5+125 -0.5+120
Over
Total
 7.5-108
BetRivers
 9.5-108 7.5-108 7.5-108 9.5-116 7.5-110
Under
Total
 7.5-110
bet365
 9.5-112 7.5-112 7.5-118 9.5-116 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
 1.6% 4.2%4.8%5.4%6.5%4.0%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 +104
FanDuel
 +104
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -128
FanDuel
 -128
Falcons
Spread
 +1.5-144
FanDuel
 +1.5-144
Buccaneers
Spread
 -1.5+118
FanDuel
 -1.5+118
Over
Total
 13.5-104
FanDuel
 13.5-104
Under
Total
 13.5-116
FanDuel
 13.5-116
Margin
Moneyline
 4.9% 4.9%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 -108
FanDuel
 -108
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -112
FanDuel
 -112
Falcons
Spread
 +1.5-184
FanDuel
 +1.5-184
Buccaneers
Spread
 -1.5+150
FanDuel
 -1.5+150
Over
Total
 9.5-110
FanDuel
 9.5-110
Under
Total
 9.5-110
FanDuel
 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
 4.5% 4.5%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
 -104
FanDuel
 -104
Buccaneers
Moneyline
 -118
FanDuel
 -118
Falcons
Spread
 +1.5-164
FanDuel
 +1.5-164
Buccaneers
Spread
 -1.5+134
FanDuel
 -1.5+134
Over
Total
 13.5-102
FanDuel
 13.5-102
Under
Total
 13.5-118
FanDuel
 13.5-118
Margin
Moneyline
 4.9% 4.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Shortening drifting: a book's price or line moved in the last 6 hours (by at least a point of implied chance, or a line). Arrows point the way the number moved, next to the line when the line moved; hover or tap for what it was.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Kalshi prices include an estimate of Kalshi's trading fee, so they show what the bet costs. How we price Kalshi

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-13
ATL +13
 - - +475-700 +440-670 +450-769 - -
-12.5
ATL +12.5
 +365-588 +430-670 +425-625 +400-590 +410-667 - -
-12
ATL +12
 - - +425-625 +400-560 +410-667 - -
-11.5
ATL +11.5
 +339-533 +400-620 +400-600 +375-530 +390-625 - -
-11
ATL +11
 - - +380-600 +370-530 +375-588 - -
-10.5
ATL +10.5
 +308-471 +360-530 +350-525 +340-480 +350-526 - +355-488
-10
ATL +10
 - - +340-500 +330-455 +330-500 - -
-9.5
ATL +9.5
 +261-382 +310-440 +290-425 +285-385 +290-435 - +317-426
-9
ATL +9
 - - +290-425 +285-385 +290-435 - -
-8.5
ATL +8.5
 +244-353 +290-410 +280-400 +270-360 +265-385 - -
-8
ATL +8
 - - +270-375 +260-345 +265-385 - -
-7.5
ATL +7.5
 +219-310 +255-350 +240-325 +235-305 +240-333 - +233-300
-7
ATL +7
 - - +225-300 +220-286 +230-312 - -
-6.5
ATL +6.5
 +173-237 +200-265 +185-250 +185-240 +200-270 - +194-257
-6
ATL +6
 - - +175-235 +175-225 +185-244 - -
-5.5
ATL +5.5
 +154-210 +164-215 +160-210 +160-200 +170-222 - +163-213
-5
ATL +5
 - - +150-210 +155-195 +160-208 - -
-4.5
ATL +4.5
 +140-189 +150-194 +145-190 +145-180 +150-192 - +150-186
-4
ATL +4
 - - +138-185 +138-175 +145-182 - -
-3.5
ATL +3.5
 +125-167 +132-170 +125-165 +125-157 +130-161 - +133-170
-3
ATL +3
 - - +110-145 +108-134 +115-141 - -
-2.5
ATL +2.5
 -105-115 -105-115 -110-120 -113-110 -105-116 - -108-117
-2
ATL +2
 - - -110-108 -121-103 -111-111 - -
-1.5
ATL +1.5
 -123-108 -125-102 -120-108 -129+104 -116-105 -119-101 -117-104
-1
ATL +1
 - - -130-102 -136+110 -125+105 - -
-0.5
ATL +0.5
 - - - -143+116 - - -
+0.5
ATL -0.5
 - - - -148+120 - - -
+1
ATL -1
 - - -150+115 -159+128 -147+120 - -
+1.5
ATL -1.5
 -161+120 -158+124 -160+120 -167+133 -161+130 - -156+122
+2
ATL -2
 - - -175+130 -180+143 -172+135 - -
+2.5
ATL -2.5
 -179+133 -174+136 -175+135 -190+150 -175+140 - -178+138
+3
ATL -3
 - - -220+165 -240+188 -227+175 - -
+3.5
ATL -3.5
 -253+183 -245+186 -250+185 -275+210 -270+200 - -245+194
+4
ATL -4
 - - -275+200 -305+230 -303+220 - -
+4.5
ATL -4.5
 -287+204 -295+220 -295+210 -315+240 -312+230 - -300+223
+5
ATL -5
 - - -325+230 -345+260 -357+250 - -
+5.5
ATL -5.5
 -321+225 -320+235 -325+230 -360+265 -357+250 - -317+245
+6
ATL -6
 - - -375+260 -400+295 -435+290 - -
+6.5
ATL -6.5
 -371+255 -390+280 -375+270 -420+300 -435+290 - -376+285
+7
ATL -7
 - - -500+340 -530+370 -556+360 - -
+7.5
ATL -7.5
 -487+316 -530+360 -525+360 -560+390 -588+375 - -525+376
+8
ATL -8
 - - -625+400 -625+430 -667+410 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
31.5
Over / Under
 -1160+572 -1000+560 - - -909+500 -909+485 -
32
Over / Under
 - - - - -909+500 -833+480 -
32.5
Over / Under
 -980+516 -850+500 - - -769+450 -769+445 -809+525
33
Over / Under
 - - - - -714+430 -769+430 -
33.5
Over / Under
 -760+436 -650+420 - - -588+375 -625+360 -
34
Over / Under
 - - - - -588+375 -625+355 -
34.5
Over / Under
 -640+388 -530+360 - - -526+350 -556+342 -
35
Over / Under
 - - - - -500+330 -526+336 -
35.5
Over / Under
 -551+348 -480+340 - - -455+310 -500+320 -488+335
36
Over / Under
 - - -475+320 - -435+290 -476+312 -
36.5
Over / Under
 -464+304 -430+300 -425+290 - -385+265 -417+272 -
37
Over / Under
 - - -375+275 - -357+250 -400+266 -
37.5
Over / Under
 -376+257 -340+250 -325+240 - -312+230 -333+225 -
38
Over / Under
 - - -325+230 - -312+230 -323+222 -
38.5
Over / Under
 -335+233 -310+230 -295+210 - -286+215 -303+212 -317+233
39
Over / Under
 - - -285+210 - -286+210 -294+208 -
39.5
Over / Under
 -293+208 -280+210 -275+195 - -250+190 -270+188 -
40
Over / Under
 - - -250+188 - -244+185 -263+185 -
40.5
Over / Under
 -255+184 -230+176 -235+170 - -222+170 -233+168 -
41
Over / Under
 - - -220+165 - -213+165 -227+162 -
41.5
Over / Under
 -215+158 -192+148 -200+150 -177+140 -196+155 -204+152 -194+144
42
Over / Under
 - - -190+145 - -192+150 -200+150 -
42.5
Over / Under
 -196+145 -178+138 -185+138 -159+128 -175+140 -192+142 -170+138
43
Over / Under
 - - -175+130 - -161+130 -179+128 -
43.5
Over / Under
 -163+122 -148+116 -160+120 -136+110 -147+120 -159+118 -150+122
44
Over / Under
 - - -145+110 - -141+115 -147+108 -
44.5
Over / Under
 -141+106 -125-102 -135+105 -120-104 -125+105 -141+100 -138+113
45
Over / Under
 - - -130-102 - -120+100 -139-102 -
45.5
Over / Under
 -124-107 -110-110 -120-108 -108-114 -116-105 -135-105 -117-104
46
Over / Under
 - - -110-108 - -111-111 -132-108 -
46.5
Over / Under
 -108-112 +100-128 -110-118 +102-125 -105-116 -109-111 -104-122
47
Over / Under
 - - -105-130 - +100-120 -108-132 -
47.5
Over / Under
 +105-140 +120-154 +105-135 +117-148 +105-125 +100-141 +113-144
48
Over / Under
 - - +110-145 - +110-135 +105-145 -
48.5
Over / Under
 +116-155 +134-172 +115-155 - +115-141 +108-147 -
49
Over / Under
 - - +120-160 - +125-156 +115-154 -
49.5
Over / Under
 +131-175 +146-188 +125-165 - +125-156 +122-164 -
50
Over / Under
 - - +135-185 - +135-172 +132-182 -
50.5
Over / Under
 +147-200 +164-215 +140-190 - +140-175 +140-189 +163-213
51
Over / Under
 - - +155-210 - +150-192 +155-208 -
51.5
Over / Under
 +174-240 +200-265 +165-220 - +160-208 +162-227 -
52
Over / Under
 - - +175-235 - +170-222 +168-233 -
52.5
Over / Under
 +191-265 +220-295 +180-235 - +175-227 +170-238 -
53
Over / Under
 - - +190-275 - +185-244 +186-263 -
53.5
Over / Under
 +215-304 +240-330 +200-275 - +190-250 +190-278 +245-335
54
Over / Under
 - - +210-295 - +210-286 +210-303 -
54.5
Over / Under
 +241-347 +265-370 +220-300 - +215-286 +215-312 -
55
Over / Under
 - - +250-350 - +230-312 +228-333 -
55.5
Over / Under
 +279-416 +310-440 +250-350 - +240-333 +236-345 -
56
Over / Under
 - - +270-375 - +250-357 +250-370 -
56.5
Over / Under
 +304-462 +330-480 - - +250-357 +258-385 +335-488
57
Over / Under
 - - - - +280-400 +288-455 -
57.5
Over / Under
 +352-561 +390-590 - - +290-435 +300-455 -
58
Over / Under
 - - - - +320-476 +328-526 -
58.5
Over / Under
 +389-650 +430-670 - - +330-500 +332-526 -
59
Over / Under
 - - - - +360-556 +346-588 -
59.5
Over / Under
 +441-770 +480-800 - - +360-556 +348-588 +525-669
60
Over / Under
 - - - - +390-625 +380-667 -
60.5
Over / Under
 +483-880 +520-900 - - +390-625 +385-667 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.

Team totals

Team
Falcons - O/U 22.5-115 / -111 - O/U 21.5-120 / -113 - - -
Buccaneers - O/U 23.5-115 / -111 - O/U 23.5-118 / -114 - - -

Line movement