Books

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Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans odds

Buffalo
Bills
SM rating 1697 · #2
36 – 31
Final
Bills -1.5 covered
Over 44.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 13
1:00 PM ET
Reliant Stadium
Houston
Texans
SM rating 1534 · #16
BUF 46%HOU 54%
Fair moneyline
+118 / -118
BUF / HOU, no vig
Market win %
51% / 49%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +6 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 49% (no vig)
Ratings
1697 / 1534
BUF / HOU, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Bills
Moneyline
-112
DraftKings
-112 -116 -120
Texans
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-109 -102 +100
Bills
Spread
-1.5-104
FanDuel
- -1.5-104 -1.5-105
Texans
Spread
+1.5-115
bet365
- +1.5-118 +1.5-115
Over
Total
44.5-110
bet365
- 44.5-110 44.5-110
Under
Total
44.5-110
bet365
- 44.5-110 44.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.7%4.0%4.3%
MarketBest
Bills
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-116 -115
Texans
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-105 -105
Bills
Spread
-0.5+100
bet365
- -0.5+100
Texans
Spread
+0.5-120
bet365
- +0.5-120
Over
Total
22.5-105
bet365
- 22.5-105
Under
Total
22.5-115
bet365
- 22.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 4.7%4.5%
MarketBest
Bills
Moneyline
-110
bet365
-111 -110
Texans
Moneyline
-110
bet365
-111 -110
Bills
Spread
-0.5+140
bet365
- -0.5+140
Texans
Spread
+0.5-164
bet365
- +0.5-164
Over
Total
7.5-105
bet365
- 7.5-105
Under
Total
7.5-115
bet365
- 7.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
4.5% 5.0%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

HOU line
+1.5
BUF -1.5
- -118-104 -115-105

Top number: HOU at that line; bottom: BUF at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
30
Over / Under
- - -909+525
30.5
Over / Under
- - -769+430
31
Over / Under
- - -769+425
31.5
Over / Under
- - -714+395
32
Over / Under
- - -667+390
32.5
Over / Under
- - -625+365
33
Over / Under
- - -588+350
33.5
Over / Under
- - -476+322
34
Over / Under
- - -476+316
34.5
Over / Under
- - -435+292
35
Over / Under
- - -435+290
35.5
Over / Under
- - -400+275
36
Over / Under
- - -385+268
36.5
Over / Under
- - -333+242
37
Over / Under
- - -312+230
37.5
Over / Under
- - -263+190
38
Over / Under
- - -263+186
38.5
Over / Under
- - -250+180
39
Over / Under
- - -238+176
39.5
Over / Under
- - -213+166
40
Over / Under
- - -204+162
40.5
Over / Under
- - -189+148
41
Over / Under
- - -179+142
41.5
Over / Under
- - -164+134
42
Over / Under
- - -159+130
42.5
Over / Under
- - -154+125
43
Over / Under
- - -143+114
43.5
Over / Under
- - -125+102
44
Over / Under
- - -118-102
44.5
Over / Under
- -110-110 -110-110
45
Over / Under
- - -105-115
45.5
Over / Under
- - +100-120
46
Over / Under
- - +104-128
46.5
Over / Under
- - +106-132
47
Over / Under
- - +118-147
47.5
Over / Under
- - +128-159
48
Over / Under
- - +132-161
48.5
Over / Under
- - +135-167
49
Over / Under
- - +145-179
49.5
Over / Under
- - +148-189
50
Over / Under
- - +162-204
50.5
Over / Under
- - +168-222
51
Over / Under
- - +180-250
51.5
Over / Under
- - +190-263
52
Over / Under
- - +205-278
52.5
Over / Under
- - +210-286
53
Over / Under
- - +228-303
53.5
Over / Under
- - +235-323
54
Over / Under
- - +250-345
54.5
Over / Under
- - +258-370
55
Over / Under
- - +275-400
55.5
Over / Under
- - +278-417
56
Over / Under
- - +300-455
56.5
Over / Under
- - +310-455
57
Over / Under
- - +338-526
57.5
Over / Under
- - +344-556
58
Over / Under
- - +375-667
58.5
Over / Under
- - +380-667
59
Over / Under
- - +405-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.