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Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs odds

Denver
Broncos
SM rating 1652 · #4
10 – 31
Final
Chiefs -2.5 covered
Under 42.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, September 14
8:15 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City
Chiefs
SM rating 1592 · #10
DEN 55%KC 45%
Fair moneyline
-124 / +124
DEN / KC, no vig
Market win %
46% / 54%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
DEN +10 pts
SharpModels 55% · market 46% (no vig)
Ratings
1652 / 1592
DEN / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
+112
FanDuel
+110 +112 +110
Chiefs
Moneyline
-130
bet365
-132 -132 -130
Broncos
Spread
+2.5-112
DraftKings
+2.5-112 +2.5-118 +2.5-115
Chiefs
Spread
-2.5-104
FanDuel
-2.5-109 -2.5-104 -2.5-105
Over
Total
42.5-110
bet365
42.5-111 42.5-112 42.5-110
Under
Total
42.5-108
FanDuel
42.5-111 42.5-108 42.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.3%3.9%4.0%
MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
+105
DraftKings
+105 +100
Chiefs
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-125 -120
Broncos
Spread
+0.5-110
bet365
+0.5-119 +0.5-110
Chiefs
Spread
-0.5-102
DraftKings
-0.5-102 -0.5-110
Over
Total
20.5-109
DraftKings
20.5-109 20.5-110
Under
Total
20.5-110
bet365
20.5-112 20.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.2%4.3%
MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
+102
DraftKings
+102 +100
Chiefs
Moneyline
-120
bet365
-123 -120
Broncos
Spread
+0.5-154
bet365
+0.5-156 +0.5-154
Chiefs
Spread
-0.5+130
bet365
-0.5+130 -0.5+130
Over
Total
7.5+102
DraftKings
7.5+102 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
7.5-123 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.5%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-12.5
DEN +12.5
+307-476 - -
-11.5
DEN +11.5
+284-435 - -
-10.5
DEN +10.5
+261-385 - -
-9.5
DEN +9.5
+227-333 - -
-8.5
DEN +8.5
+214-303 - -
-7.5
DEN +7.5
+194-270 - -
-6.5
DEN +6.5
+158-217 - -
-5.5
DEN +5.5
+141-192 - -
-4.5
DEN +4.5
+130-175 - -
-3.5
DEN +3.5
+117-159 - -
-2.5
DEN +2.5
-109-112 -104-118 -105-115
-1.5
DEN +1.5
-123-109 - -
+1.5
DEN -1.5
-156+116 - -
+2.5
DEN -2.5
-169+125 - -
+3.5
DEN -3.5
-227+164 - -
+4.5
DEN -4.5
-256+185 - -
+5.5
DEN -5.5
-286+201 - -
+6.5
DEN -6.5
-333+227 - -
+7.5
DEN -7.5
-417+279 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: DEN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
28
Over / Under
- - -833+475
28.5
Over / Under
-1250+569 - -833+460
29
Over / Under
- - -769+445
29.5
Over / Under
-909+473 - -667+375
30
Over / Under
- - -625+360
30.5
Over / Under
-714+405 - -500+325
31
Over / Under
- - -476+322
31.5
Over / Under
-588+361 - -455+295
32
Over / Under
- - -435+292
32.5
Over / Under
-500+323 - -417+278
33
Over / Under
- - -385+268
33.5
Over / Under
-417+273 - -323+235
34
Over / Under
- - -312+230
34.5
Over / Under
-357+243 - -294+220
35
Over / Under
- - -286+210
35.5
Over / Under
-312+216 - -270+195
36
Over / Under
- - -263+186
36.5
Over / Under
-263+186 - -233+172
37
Over / Under
- - -204+162
37.5
Over / Under
-217+157 - -179+142
38
Over / Under
- - -175+140
38.5
Over / Under
-196+143 - -164+134
39
Over / Under
- - -159+130
39.5
Over / Under
-169+126 - -149+120
40
Over / Under
- - -143+114
40.5
Over / Under
-147+110 - -130+105
41
Over / Under
- - -122+101
41.5
Over / Under
-128-104 - -114-106
42
Over / Under
- - -112-108
42.5
Over / Under
-111-111 -112-108 -110-110
43
Over / Under
- - +104-128
43.5
Over / Under
+102-137 -102-120 +112-141
44
Over / Under
- - +122-152
44.5
Over / Under
+116-156 - +132-161
45
Over / Under
- - +136-169
45.5
Over / Under
+130-175 - +140-175
46
Over / Under
- - +147-185
46.5
Over / Under
+145-200 - +154-192
47
Over / Under
- - +168-222
47.5
Over / Under
+169-233 - +174-233
48
Over / Under
- - +180-250
48.5
Over / Under
+188-263 - +182-256
49
Over / Under
- - +200-278
49.5
Over / Under
+215-312 - +210-286
50
Over / Under
- - +232-312
50.5
Over / Under
+242-357 - +240-333
51
Over / Under
- - +265-385
51.5
Over / Under
+281-435 - +272-400
52
Over / Under
- - +282-417
52.5
Over / Under
+309-476 - +288-435
53
Over / Under
- - +322-476
53.5
Over / Under
+347-556 - +325-500
54
Over / Under
- - +342-556
54.5
Over / Under
+389-667 - +346-588
55
Over / Under
- - +375-667
55.5
Over / Under
+441-833 - +385-667
56
Over / Under
- - +415-714
56.5
Over / Under
+478-909 - +420-714
57
Over / Under
- - +490-909

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.