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Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons odds

Carolina
Panthers
SM rating 1413 · #23
34 – 3
Final
Panthers -2.5 covered
Under 43.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 20
1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
CAR 34%ATL 66%
Fair moneyline
+195 / -195
CAR / ATL, no vig
Market win %
56% / 44%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
ATL +22 pts
SharpModels 66% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1413 / 1462
CAR / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 22 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Panthers
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-143 -143 -141
Falcons
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+120 +120 +120
Panthers
Spread
-2.5-110
bet365
-2.5-119 -2.5-115 -2.5-110
Falcons
Spread
+2.5-102
DraftKings
+2.5-102 +2.5-105 +2.5-110
Over
Total
43.5-105
FanDuel
- 43.5-105 43.5-110
Under
Total
43.5-110
bet365
- 43.5-115 43.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.1%4.1%3.8%
MarketBest
Panthers
Moneyline
-123
DraftKings
-123 -130
Falcons
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+102 +110
Panthers
Spread
-0.5-110
bet365
-0.5-112 -0.5-110
Falcons
Spread
+0.5-109
DraftKings
+0.5-109 +0.5-110
Over
Total
20.5-120
bet365
- 20.5-120
Under
Total
20.5+100
bet365
- 20.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
2.7% 4.5%4.0%
MarketBest
Panthers
Moneyline
-125
DraftKings
-125 -130
Falcons
Moneyline
+110
bet365
+105 +110
Panthers
Spread
-0.5+125
bet365
-0.5+124 -0.5+125
Falcons
Spread
+0.5-149
bet365
+0.5-149 +0.5-149
Over
Total
7.5-105
bet365
- 7.5-105
Under
Total
7.5-115
bet365
- 7.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.2%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-7.5
CAR +7.5
+315-500 - -
-6.5
CAR +6.5
+259-385 - -
-5.5
CAR +5.5
+226-323 - -
-4.5
CAR +4.5
+207-294 - -
-3.5
CAR +3.5
+186-263 - -
-2.5
CAR +2.5
+137-185 - -
-1.5
CAR +1.5
+125-169 - -
+1.5
CAR -1.5
-101-132 - -
+2.5
CAR -2.5
-102-119 -105-115 -110-110
+3.5
CAR -3.5
-149+111 - -
+4.5
CAR -4.5
-167+124 - -
+5.5
CAR -5.5
-185+136 - -
+6.5
CAR -6.5
-213+154 - -
+7.5
CAR -7.5
-270+191 - -
+8.5
CAR -8.5
-303+210 - -
+9.5
CAR -9.5
-323+223 - -
+10.5
CAR -10.5
-385+258 - -
+11.5
CAR -11.5
-435+283 - -
+12.5
CAR -12.5
-476+306 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: CAR at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
29
Over / Under
- - -1000+550
29.5
Over / Under
- - -833+460
30
Over / Under
- - -769+445
30.5
Over / Under
- - -625+365
31
Over / Under
- - -625+360
31.5
Over / Under
- - -556+344
32
Over / Under
- - -556+342
32.5
Over / Under
- - -500+332
33
Over / Under
- - -476+322
33.5
Over / Under
- - -400+276
34
Over / Under
- - -400+272
34.5
Over / Under
- - -370+258
35
Over / Under
- - -357+252
35.5
Over / Under
- - -333+240
36
Over / Under
- - -312+232
36.5
Over / Under
- - -286+210
37
Over / Under
- - -263+190
37.5
Over / Under
- - -222+168
38
Over / Under
- - -213+166
38.5
Over / Under
- - -200+160
39
Over / Under
- - -196+156
39.5
Over / Under
- - -182+146
40
Over / Under
- - -172+138
40.5
Over / Under
- - -159+128
41
Over / Under
- - -149+120
41.5
Over / Under
- - -141+112
42
Over / Under
- - -135+108
42.5
Over / Under
- - -130+105
43
Over / Under
- - -118-102
43.5
Over / Under
- -105-115 -110-110
44
Over / Under
- - +101-122
44.5
Over / Under
- - +108-135
45
Over / Under
- - +112-141
45.5
Over / Under
- - +116-145
46
Over / Under
- - +122-152
46.5
Over / Under
- - +128-159
47
Over / Under
- - +140-175
47.5
Over / Under
- - +148-189
48
Over / Under
- - +156-196
48.5
Over / Under
- - +160-200
49
Over / Under
- - +168-222
49.5
Over / Under
- - +172-233
50
Over / Under
- - +186-263
50.5
Over / Under
- - +195-270
51
Over / Under
- - +225-303
51.5
Over / Under
- - +232-312
52
Over / Under
- - +240-333
52.5
Over / Under
- - +245-345
53
Over / Under
- - +262-370
53.5
Over / Under
- - +270-385
54
Over / Under
- - +292-435
54.5
Over / Under
- - +300-455
55
Over / Under
- - +325-500
55.5
Over / Under
- - +332-500
56
Over / Under
- - +342-556
56.5
Over / Under
- - +344-556
57
Over / Under
- - +395-714
57.5
Over / Under
- - +405-714
58
Over / Under
- - +450-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.