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Indianapolis Colts at Kansas City Chiefs odds

Indianapolis
Colts
SM rating 1403 · #25
30 – 33
Final
Chiefs -6 did not cover
Over 45.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 20
8:20 PM ET
Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City
Chiefs
SM rating 1592 · #10
IND 28%KC 72%
Fair moneyline
+257 / -257
IND / KC, no vig
Market win %
30% / 70%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
KC +2 pts
SharpModels 72% · market 70% (no vig)
Ratings
1403 / 1592
IND / KC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Colts
Moneyline
+230
bet365
+215 +225 +230
Chiefs
Moneyline
-270
DraftKings
-270 -278 -278
Colts
Spread
+5.5-105
bet365
+6-112 +6.5-122 +5.5-105
Chiefs
Spread
-6.5+100
FanDuel
-6-109 -6.5+100 -5.5-115
Over
Total
46.5-102
DraftKings
46.5-102 45.5-115 45.5-110
Under
Total
45.5-105
FanDuel
46.5-119 45.5-105 45.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.5%4.1%3.7%
MarketBest
Colts
Moneyline
+165
bet365
+160 +165
Chiefs
Moneyline
-192
DraftKings
-192 -200
Colts
Spread
+3.5-120
bet365
+3.5-132 +3.5-120
Chiefs
Spread
-3.5+110
DraftKings
-3.5+110 -3.5+100
Over
Total
22.5-110
bet365
22.5-125 22.5-110
Under
Total
22.5-106
DraftKings
22.5-106 22.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.0%4.2%
MarketBest
Colts
Moneyline
+145
bet365
+130 +145
Chiefs
Moneyline
-156
DraftKings
-156 -169
Colts
Spread
+0.5-115
bet365
+0.5-125 +0.5-115
Chiefs
Spread
-0.5+105
DraftKings
-0.5+105 -0.5-105
Over
Total
7.5-122
DraftKings
7.5-122 9.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-111
DraftKings
7.5-111 9.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
1.7% 4.2%3.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

KC line
-16.5
IND +16.5
+286-435 - -
-15.5
IND +15.5
+263-400 - -
-14.5
IND +14.5
+243-357 - -
-13.5
IND +13.5
+206-294 - -
-12.5
IND +12.5
+188-263 - -
-11.5
IND +11.5
+174-244 - -
-10.5
IND +10.5
+160-222 - -
-9.5
IND +9.5
+137-185 - -
-8.5
IND +8.5
+129-175 - -
-7.5
IND +7.5
+117-156 - -
-6.5
IND +6.5
-106-125 +100-122 -
-6
IND +6
-109-112 - -
-5.5
IND +5.5
-120-111 - -115-105
-4.5
IND +4.5
-133-101 - -
-3.5
IND +3.5
-149+111 - -
-2.5
IND +2.5
-200+148 - -
-1.5
IND +1.5
-227+164 - -
+1.5
IND -1.5
-294+206 - -
+2.5
IND -2.5
-323+225 - -
+3.5
IND -3.5
-455+295 - -
+4.5
IND -4.5
-526+329 - -

Top number: KC at that line; bottom: IND at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
31
Over / Under
- - -833+470
31.5
Over / Under
-1429+600 - -769+430
32
Over / Under
- - -769+425
32.5
Over / Under
-1111+542 - -714+400
33
Over / Under
- - -667+385
33.5
Over / Under
-833+450 - -556+342
34
Over / Under
- - -526+338
34.5
Over / Under
-714+399 - -476+320
35
Over / Under
- - -455+314
35.5
Over / Under
-588+357 - -435+292
36
Over / Under
- - -417+285
36.5
Over / Under
-476+309 - -370+260
37
Over / Under
- - -345+248
37.5
Over / Under
-400+264 - -286+210
38
Over / Under
- - -278+205
38.5
Over / Under
-357+239 - -270+195
39
Over / Under
- - -263+186
39.5
Over / Under
-303+210 - -238+176
40
Over / Under
- - -227+170
40.5
Over / Under
-256+183 - -200+160
41
Over / Under
- - -189+152
41.5
Over / Under
-217+159 - -175+140
42
Over / Under
- - -167+135
42.5
Over / Under
-196+145 - -161+132
43
Over / Under
- - -152+122
43.5
Over / Under
-167+122 - -139+110
44
Over / Under
- - -125+102
44.5
Over / Under
-143+106 - -115-105
45
Over / Under
- - -112-108
45.5
Over / Under
-127-106 -115-105 -110-110
46
Over / Under
- - +100-120
46.5
Over / Under
-102-119 - +102-125
47
Over / Under
- - +112-141
47.5
Over / Under
+103-139 - +120-149
48
Over / Under
- - +128-159
48.5
Over / Under
+116-156 - +132-161
49
Over / Under
- - +138-172
49.5
Over / Under
+130-175 - +142-179
50
Over / Under
- - +156-196
50.5
Over / Under
+147-200 - +164-208
51
Over / Under
- - +176-238
51.5
Over / Under
+172-238 - +182-256
52
Over / Under
- - +195-270
52.5
Over / Under
+190-270 - +200-278
53
Over / Under
- - +220-294
53.5
Over / Under
+214-303 - +228-303
54
Over / Under
- - +245-345
54.5
Over / Under
+241-357 - +252-357
55
Over / Under
- - +270-385
55.5
Over / Under
+277-417 - +275-400
56
Over / Under
- - +290-435
56.5
Over / Under
+302-476 - +295-455
57
Over / Under
- - +334-526
57.5
Over / Under
+350-588 - +338-526
58
Over / Under
- - +365-625
58.5
Over / Under
+397-667 - +375-667
59
Over / Under
- - +400-714
59.5
Over / Under
+442-833 - +405-714
60
Over / Under
- - +445-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.