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Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos odds

Jacksonville
Jaguars
SM rating 1607 · #6
13 – 20
Final
Broncos -2.5 covered
Under 45.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 20
4:05 PM ET
Empower Field at Mile High
Denver
Broncos
SM rating 1652 · #4
JAX 40%DEN 60%
Fair moneyline
+148 / -148
JAX / DEN, no vig
Market win %
43% / 57%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
DEN +3 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 57% (no vig)
Ratings
1607 / 1652
JAX / DEN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Jaguars
Moneyline
+124
DraftKings
+124 +120 +120
Broncos
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-149 -143 -141
Jaguars
Spread
+2.5-105
bet365
+2.5-105 +2.5-105 +2.5-105
Broncos
Spread
-2.5-115
bet365
-2.5-116 -2.5-115 -2.5-115
Over
Total
45.5-105
FanDuel
45.5-111 45.5-105 45.5-110
Under
Total
45.5-110
bet365
45.5-111 45.5-115 45.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.3%4.1%3.8%
MarketBest
Jaguars
Moneyline
+120
bet365
+120 +120
Broncos
Moneyline
-141
bet365
-143 -141
Jaguars
Spread
+1.5-115
bet365
+1.5-116 +1.5-115
Broncos
Spread
-1.5-105
bet365
-1.5-105 -1.5-105
Over
Total
22.5-109
DraftKings
22.5-109 22.5-110
Under
Total
22.5-110
bet365
22.5-112 22.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.1%3.8%
MarketBest
Jaguars
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+105 +105
Broncos
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-125 -125
Jaguars
Spread
+0.5-149
bet365
+0.5-149 +0.5-149
Broncos
Spread
-0.5+125
bet365
-0.5+124 -0.5+125
Over
Total
7.5-109
DraftKings
7.5-109 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
bet365
7.5-112 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

DEN line
-12.5
JAX +12.5
+353-588 - -
-11.5
JAX +11.5
+326-526 - -
-10.5
JAX +10.5
+296-455 - -
-9.5
JAX +9.5
+250-370 - -
-8.5
JAX +8.5
+233-345 - -
-7.5
JAX +7.5
+210-303 - -
-6.5
JAX +6.5
+165-227 - -
-5.5
JAX +5.5
+145-196 - -
-4.5
JAX +4.5
+131-179 - -
-3.5
JAX +3.5
+116-156 - -
-2.5
JAX +2.5
-116-105 -115-105 -115-105
-1.5
JAX +1.5
-135+100 - -
+1.5
JAX -1.5
-179+131 - -
+2.5
JAX -2.5
-196+144 - -
+3.5
JAX -3.5
-278+197 - -
+4.5
JAX -4.5
-323+222 - -
+5.5
JAX -5.5
-357+245 - -
+6.5
JAX -6.5
-417+276 - -
+7.5
JAX -7.5
-588+350 - -

Top number: DEN at that line; bottom: JAX at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
31
Over / Under
- - -769+450
31.5
Over / Under
-1111+540 - -714+420
32
Over / Under
- - -714+415
32.5
Over / Under
-909+483 - -667+390
33
Over / Under
- - -667+375
33.5
Over / Under
-714+400 - -526+336
34
Over / Under
- - -500+332
34.5
Over / Under
-588+361 - -476+316
35
Over / Under
- - -455+310
35.5
Over / Under
-500+323 - -435+288
36
Over / Under
- - -417+278
36.5
Over / Under
-417+278 - -357+252
37
Over / Under
- - -333+240
37.5
Over / Under
-345+234 - -278+205
38
Over / Under
- - -278+200
38.5
Over / Under
-303+213 - -263+190
39
Over / Under
- - -256+182
39.5
Over / Under
-263+188 - -233+174
40
Over / Under
- - -222+168
40.5
Over / Under
-227+166 - -196+158
41
Over / Under
- - -189+148
41.5
Over / Under
-196+145 - -172+138
42
Over / Under
- - -167+135
42.5
Over / Under
-179+132 - -159+130
43
Over / Under
- - -149+120
43.5
Over / Under
-147+111 - -135+108
44
Over / Under
- - -122+101
44.5
Over / Under
-130-103 - -114-106
45
Over / Under
- - -112-108
45.5
Over / Under
-111-111 -105-115 -110-110
46
Over / Under
- - +100-120
46.5
Over / Under
-104-128 - +104-128
47
Over / Under
- - +112-141
47.5
Over / Under
+113-152 - +120-149
48
Over / Under
- - +125-154
48.5
Over / Under
+126-169 - +130-159
49
Over / Under
- - +138-172
49.5
Over / Under
+142-192 - +145-179
50
Over / Under
- - +158-196
50.5
Over / Under
+161-222 - +164-208
51
Over / Under
- - +176-238
51.5
Over / Under
+189-263 - +182-256
52
Over / Under
- - +195-270
52.5
Over / Under
+208-294 - +200-278
53
Over / Under
- - +220-294
53.5
Over / Under
+234-345 - +228-303
54
Over / Under
- - +242-333
54.5
Over / Under
+261-385 - +250-345
55
Over / Under
- - +265-385
55.5
Over / Under
+300-476 - +272-400
56
Over / Under
- - +288-435
56.5
Over / Under
+326-526 - +292-435
57
Over / Under
- - +332-500
57.5
Over / Under
+380-625 - +338-526
58
Over / Under
- - +355-625
58.5
Over / Under
+428-769 - +365-625
59
Over / Under
- - +390-667
59.5
Over / Under
+476-909 - +400-714
60
Over / Under
- - +435-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.