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Pittsburgh Steelers at New England Patriots odds

Pittsburgh
Steelers
SM rating 1559 · #13
3 – 20
Final
Patriots -4.5 covered
Under 40.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 20
1:00 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
New England
Patriots
SM rating 1599 · #8
PIT 36%NE 64%
Fair moneyline
+179 / -179
PIT / NE, no vig
Market win %
33% / 67%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
PIT +3 pts
SharpModels 36% · market 33% (no vig)
Ratings
1559 / 1599
PIT / NE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Steelers
Moneyline
+190
bet365
+185 +190 +190
Patriots
Moneyline
-227
DraftKings
-227 -233 -233
Steelers
Spread
+4.5-102
DraftKings
+4.5-102 +4.5-105 +4.5-105
Patriots
Spread
-4.5-115
bet365
-4.5-119 -4.5-115 -4.5-115
Over
Total
40.5-114
bet365
- 41.5-105 40.5-114
Under
Total
41.5-115
FanDuel
- 41.5-115 40.5-106
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.3%4.3%4.3%
MarketBest
Steelers
Moneyline
+160
bet365
+150 +160
Patriots
Moneyline
-182
DraftKings
-182 -189
Steelers
Spread
+2.5+110
DraftKings
+2.5+110 +3.5-120
Patriots
Spread
-3.5+100
bet365
-2.5-132 -3.5+100
Over
Total
20.5-105
bet365
- 20.5-105
Under
Total
20.5-115
bet365
- 20.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
2.9% 4.3%3.7%
MarketBest
Steelers
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+130 +140
Patriots
Moneyline
-156
DraftKings
-156 -164
Steelers
Spread
+0.5-120
bet365
+0.5-132 +0.5-120
Patriots
Spread
-0.5+110
DraftKings
-0.5+110 -0.5+100
Over
Total
7.5+110
bet365
- 7.5+110
Under
Total
7.5-130
bet365
- 7.5-130
Margin
Moneyline
2.5% 4.2%3.6%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NE line
-4.5
PIT +4.5
-119-102 -115-105 -115-105

Top number: NE at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
26.5
Over / Under
- - -1000+545
27
Over / Under
- - -909+525
27.5
Over / Under
- - -769+440
28
Over / Under
- - -769+435
28.5
Over / Under
- - -714+415
29
Over / Under
- - -714+405
29.5
Over / Under
- - -588+348
30
Over / Under
- - -556+342
30.5
Over / Under
- - -435+292
31
Over / Under
- - -435+288
31.5
Over / Under
- - -400+275
32
Over / Under
- - -385+270
32.5
Over / Under
- - -357+255
33
Over / Under
- - -345+245
33.5
Over / Under
- - -286+210
34
Over / Under
- - -278+205
34.5
Over / Under
- - -263+190
35
Over / Under
- - -256+182
35.5
Over / Under
- - -238+176
36
Over / Under
- - -227+170
36.5
Over / Under
- - -196+158
37
Over / Under
- - -182+146
37.5
Over / Under
- - -159+128
38
Over / Under
- - -154+125
38.5
Over / Under
- - -147+118
39
Over / Under
- - -143+114
39.5
Over / Under
- - -132+106
40
Over / Under
- - -122+101
40.5
Over / Under
- - -114-106
41
Over / Under
- - -106-114
41.5
Over / Under
- -105-115 -105-115
42
Over / Under
- - +104-128
42.5
Over / Under
- - +106-132
43
Over / Under
- - +118-147
43.5
Over / Under
- - +128-159
44
Over / Under
- - +140-175
44.5
Over / Under
- - +147-185
45
Over / Under
- - +156-196
45.5
Over / Under
- - +160-200
46
Over / Under
- - +166-213
46.5
Over / Under
- - +170-227
47
Over / Under
- - +186-263
47.5
Over / Under
- - +205-278
48
Over / Under
- - +215-294
48.5
Over / Under
- - +220-294
49
Over / Under
- - +235-323
49.5
Over / Under
- - +240-333
50
Over / Under
- - +265-385
50.5
Over / Under
- - +275-400
51
Over / Under
- - +310-455
51.5
Over / Under
- - +320-476
52
Over / Under
- - +330-500
52.5
Over / Under
- - +332-500
53
Over / Under
- - +348-588
53.5
Over / Under
- - +360-625
54
Over / Under
- - +400-714
54.5
Over / Under
- - +410-714
55
Over / Under
- - +445-769
55.5
Over / Under
- - +455-833

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.