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Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers odds

Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
35 – 14
Final
Packers -4.5 did not cover
Over 43
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, September 24
8:15 PM ET
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
Packers
SM rating 1542 · #15
ATL 27%GB 73%
Fair moneyline
+276 / -276
ATL / GB, no vig
Market win %
32% / 68%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
GB +5 pts
SharpModels 73% · market 68% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1542
ATL / GB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
+205
bet365
+195 +198 +205
Packers
Moneyline
-238
FanDuel
-238 -238 -250
Falcons
Spread
+4.5-105
bet365
+4.5-109 +4.5-105 +4.5-105
Packers
Spread
-4.5-112
DraftKings
-4.5-112 -4.5-115 -4.5-115
Over
Total
43.5-102
FanDuel
- 43.5-102 43-122
Under
Total
43.5-120
FanDuel
- 43.5-120 43-118
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.1%3.8%4.0%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
+165
bet365
+130 +165
Packers
Moneyline
-156
DraftKings
-156 -200
Falcons
Spread
+3.5-120
bet365
+2.5-112 +3.5-120
Packers
Spread
-3.5+100
bet365
-2.5-109 -3.5+100
Over
Total
21.5+100
bet365
- 21.5+100
Under
Total
21.5-120
bet365
- 21.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
-1.3% 4.2%4.2%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
+145
bet365
-105 +145
Packers
Moneyline
-116
DraftKings
-116 -169
Falcons
Spread
+1.5-130
bet365
+0.5-125 +1.5-130
Packers
Spread
-0.5+105
DraftKings
-0.5+105 -1.5+110
Over
Total
7.5+100
bet365
- 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
- 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
-5.8% 4.7%3.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

GB line
-4.5
ATL +4.5
-112-109 -115-105 -115-105

Top number: GB at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
29
Over / Under
- - -909+490
29.5
Over / Under
- - -769+425
30
Over / Under
- - -714+410
30.5
Over / Under
- - -556+344
31
Over / Under
- - -556+340
31.5
Over / Under
- - -500+316
32
Over / Under
- - -476+312
32.5
Over / Under
- - -455+296
33
Over / Under
- - -435+284
33.5
Over / Under
- - -370+248
34
Over / Under
- - -357+244
34.5
Over / Under
- - -323+222
35
Over / Under
- - -323+220
35.5
Over / Under
- - -303+210
36
Over / Under
- - -294+205
36.5
Over / Under
- - -263+186
37
Over / Under
- - -238+170
37.5
Over / Under
- - -204+152
38
Over / Under
- - -196+148
38.5
Over / Under
- - -189+138
39
Over / Under
- - -182+132
39.5
Over / Under
- - -172+124
40
Over / Under
- - -159+120
40.5
Over / Under
- - -149+110
41
Over / Under
- - -141+100
41.5
Over / Under
- - -130-110
42
Over / Under
- - -128-112
42.5
Over / Under
- - -125-115
43
Over / Under
- - -122-118
43.5
Over / Under
- -102-120 +100-120
44
Over / Under
- - +105-145
44.5
Over / Under
- - +115-154
45
Over / Under
- - +122-164
45.5
Over / Under
- - +124-172
46
Over / Under
- - +130-179
46.5
Over / Under
- - +135-185
47
Over / Under
- - +152-204
47.5
Over / Under
- - +160-222
48
Over / Under
- - +168-233
48.5
Over / Under
- - +172-244
49
Over / Under
- - +185-263
49.5
Over / Under
- - +186-263
50
Over / Under
- - +208-294
50.5
Over / Under
- - +215-312
51
Over / Under
- - +242-357
51.5
Over / Under
- - +250-370
52
Over / Under
- - +270-400
52.5
Over / Under
- - +272-417
53
Over / Under
- - +290-455
53.5
Over / Under
- - +296-455
54
Over / Under
- - +328-526
54.5
Over / Under
- - +336-526
55
Over / Under
- - +355-625
55.5
Over / Under
- - +365-625
56
Over / Under
- - +385-667
56.5
Over / Under
- - +390-667
57
Over / Under
- - +450-769
57.5
Over / Under
- - +460-833

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.