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Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts odds

Houston
Texans
SM rating 1534 · #16
17 – 19
Final
Texans -1.5 did not cover
Under 42.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 27
1:00 PM ET
Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis
Colts
SM rating 1403 · #25
HOU 60%IND 40%
Fair moneyline
-151 / +151
HOU / IND, no vig
Market win %
53% / 47%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
HOU +7 pts
SharpModels 60% · market 53% (no vig)
Ratings
1534 / 1403
HOU / IND, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Texans
Moneyline
-123
DraftKings
-123 -127 -125
Colts
Moneyline
+108
FanDuel
+102 +108 +105
Texans
Spread
-1.5-112
FanDuel
-1.5-112 -1.5-112 -1.5-115
Colts
Spread
+1.5-105
bet365
+1.5-109 +1.5-108 +1.5-105
Over
Total
42.5-110
bet365
- 42.5-110 42.5-110
Under
Total
42.5-110
bet365
- 42.5-110 42.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.5%3.9%4.2%
MarketBest
Texans
Moneyline
-111
DraftKings
-111 -120
Colts
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-111 +100
Texans
Spread
-0.5+114
DraftKings
-0.5+114 -0.5+105
Colts
Spread
+0.5-125
bet365
+0.5-135 +0.5-125
Over
Total
20.5-115
bet365
- 20.5-115
Under
Total
20.5-105
bet365
- 20.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.5% 5.0%4.3%
MarketBest
Texans
Moneyline
+100
DraftKings
+100 -110
Colts
Moneyline
-110
bet365
-120 -110
Texans
Spread
-0.5+140
bet365
+0.5-164 -0.5+140
Colts
Spread
-0.5+136
DraftKings
-0.5+136 +0.5-164
Over
Total
7.5+100
bet365
- 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
- 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
2.3% 4.3%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

IND line
-8.5
HOU +8.5
+295-455 - -
-7.5
HOU +7.5
+268-400 - -
-6.5
HOU +6.5
+219-312 - -
-5.5
HOU +5.5
+194-278 - -
-4.5
HOU +4.5
+177-250 - -
-3.5
HOU +3.5
+157-217 - -
-2.5
HOU +2.5
+118-159 - -
-1.5
HOU +1.5
+107-145 - -
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-109-112 -108-112 -105-115
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-130-103 - -
+3.5
HOU -3.5
-172+128 - -
+4.5
HOU -4.5
-196+144 - -
+5.5
HOU -5.5
-217+157 - -
+6.5
HOU -6.5
-250+178 - -
+7.5
HOU -7.5
-312+216 - -
+8.5
HOU -8.5
-357+240 - -
+9.5
HOU -9.5
-385+258 - -
+10.5
HOU -10.5
-476+302 - -
+11.5
HOU -11.5
-526+330 - -

Top number: IND at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
28
Over / Under
- - -909+495
28.5
Over / Under
- - -833+475
29
Over / Under
- - -833+460
29.5
Over / Under
- - -667+385
30
Over / Under
- - -625+370
30.5
Over / Under
- - -500+324
31
Over / Under
- - -500+320
31.5
Over / Under
- - -455+300
32
Over / Under
- - -455+292
32.5
Over / Under
- - -417+275
33
Over / Under
- - -400+270
33.5
Over / Under
- - -345+232
34
Over / Under
- - -333+225
34.5
Over / Under
- - -303+212
35
Over / Under
- - -303+210
35.5
Over / Under
- - -278+200
36
Over / Under
- - -263+186
36.5
Over / Under
- - -238+170
37
Over / Under
- - -213+158
37.5
Over / Under
- - -189+140
38
Over / Under
- - -185+135
38.5
Over / Under
- - -179+130
39
Over / Under
- - -169+123
39.5
Over / Under
- - -159+118
40
Over / Under
- - -149+110
40.5
Over / Under
- - -141+100
41
Over / Under
- - -139-102
41.5
Over / Under
- - -135-105
42
Over / Under
- - -132-108
42.5
Over / Under
- -110-110 -110-110
43
Over / Under
- - -105-135
43.5
Over / Under
- - +105-145
44
Over / Under
- - +115-154
44.5
Over / Under
- - +122-164
45
Over / Under
- - +125-175
45.5
Over / Under
- - +130-179
46
Over / Under
- - +140-189
46.5
Over / Under
- - +145-196
47
Over / Under
- - +160-222
47.5
Over / Under
- - +168-233
48
Over / Under
- - +175-250
48.5
Over / Under
- - +180-256
49
Over / Under
- - +190-278
49.5
Over / Under
- - +202-286
50
Over / Under
- - +220-323
50.5
Over / Under
- - +228-333
51
Over / Under
- - +254-385
51.5
Over / Under
- - +266-400
52
Over / Under
- - +274-417
52.5
Over / Under
- - +278-435
53
Over / Under
- - +308-476
53.5
Over / Under
- - +316-500
54
Over / Under
- - +342-556
54.5
Over / Under
- - +346-588
55
Over / Under
- - +370-625
55.5
Over / Under
- - +375-667
56
Over / Under
- - +405-714
56.5
Over / Under
- - +410-714
57
Over / Under
- - +480-833

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.