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Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins odds

Kansas City
Chiefs
SM rating 1592 · #10
24 – 10
Final
Chiefs -9.5 covered
Under 45.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 27
1:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami
Dolphins
SM rating 1371 · #28
KC 62%MIA 38%
Fair moneyline
-165 / +165
KC / MIA, no vig
Market win %
83% / 17%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +21 pts
SharpModels 38% · market 17% (no vig)
Ratings
1592 / 1371
KC / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 21 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Chiefs
Moneyline
-625
FanDuel
-625 -625 -667
Dolphins
Moneyline
+475
bet365
+440 +460 +475
Chiefs
Spread
-10-109
DraftKings
-10-109 -9.5-120 -9.5-120
Dolphins
Spread
+9.5+100
bet365
+10-112 +9.5-102 +9.5+100
Over
Total
45.5-105
bet365
- 45.5-105 45.5-105
Under
Total
45.5-115
bet365
- 45.5-115 45.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.5%3.9%4.2%
MarketBest
Chiefs
Moneyline
-357
bet365
-357 -357
Dolphins
Moneyline
+280
bet365
+275 +280
Chiefs
Spread
-6.5-115
bet365
-6.5-119 -6.5-115
Dolphins
Spread
+6.5-102
DraftKings
+6.5-102 +6.5-105
Over
Total
22.5-120
bet365
- 22.5-120
Under
Total
22.5+100
bet365
- 22.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.6%4.2%
MarketBest
Chiefs
Moneyline
-244
bet365
-270 -244
Dolphins
Moneyline
+215
DraftKings
+215 +200
Chiefs
Spread
-3.5+110
DraftKings
-3.5+110 -2.5-125
Dolphins
Spread
+2.5+105
bet365
+3.5-132 +2.5+105
Over
Total
9.5+100
bet365
- 9.5+100
Under
Total
9.5-120
bet365
- 9.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
2.6% 4.5%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
+1.5
KC -1.5
+307-476 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
+288-435 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
+209-303 - -
+4.5
KC -4.5
+185-263 - -
+5.5
KC -5.5
+167-233 - -
+6.5
KC -6.5
+150-204 - -
+7.5
KC -7.5
+109-147 - -
+8.5
KC -8.5
-102-132 - -
+9.5
KC -9.5
-110-123 -102-120 +100-120
+10
KC -10
-112-109 - -
+10.5
KC -10.5
-127-105 - -
+11.5
KC -11.5
-143+106 - -
+12.5
KC -12.5
-156+116 - -
+13.5
KC -13.5
-172+128 - -
+14.5
KC -14.5
-208+153 - -
+15.5
KC -15.5
-233+167 - -
+16.5
KC -16.5
-256+182 - -
+17.5
KC -17.5
-303+209 - -
+18.5
KC -18.5
-345+235 - -
+19.5
KC -19.5
-385+257 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
31
Over / Under
- - -833+460
31.5
Over / Under
- - -714+415
32
Over / Under
- - -714+410
32.5
Over / Under
- - -667+390
33
Over / Under
- - -667+375
33.5
Over / Under
- - -526+332
34
Over / Under
- - -500+324
34.5
Over / Under
- - -455+292
35
Over / Under
- - -455+290
35.5
Over / Under
- - -417+274
36
Over / Under
- - -417+272
36.5
Over / Under
- - -357+244
37
Over / Under
- - -345+232
37.5
Over / Under
- - -278+200
38
Over / Under
- - -278+190
38.5
Over / Under
- - -263+185
39
Over / Under
- - -250+175
39.5
Over / Under
- - -233+168
40
Over / Under
- - -222+160
40.5
Over / Under
- - -196+148
41
Over / Under
- - -189+138
41.5
Over / Under
- - -172+124
42
Over / Under
- - -164+122
42.5
Over / Under
- - -159+120
43
Over / Under
- - -149+110
43.5
Over / Under
- - -139-102
44
Over / Under
- - -132-108
44.5
Over / Under
- - -130-110
45
Over / Under
- - -128-112
45.5
Over / Under
- -105-115 -105-115
46
Over / Under
- - -102-139
46.5
Over / Under
- - +102-143
47
Over / Under
- - +112-152
47.5
Over / Under
- - +122-164
48
Over / Under
- - +128-179
48.5
Over / Under
- - +132-182
49
Over / Under
- - +140-189
49.5
Over / Under
- - +145-196
50
Over / Under
- - +160-222
50.5
Over / Under
- - +165-233
51
Over / Under
- - +185-263
51.5
Over / Under
- - +190-278
52
Over / Under
- - +205-294
52.5
Over / Under
- - +210-303
53
Over / Under
- - +222-323
53.5
Over / Under
- - +228-333
54
Over / Under
- - +254-385
54.5
Over / Under
- - +262-385
55
Over / Under
- - +280-435
55.5
Over / Under
- - +290-455
56
Over / Under
- - +312-476
56.5
Over / Under
- - +316-500
57
Over / Under
- - +346-588
57.5
Over / Under
- - +355-625
58
Over / Under
- - +395-714
58.5
Over / Under
- - +405-714
59
Over / Under
- - +430-769
59.5
Over / Under
- - +435-769
60
Over / Under
- - +480-833

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.