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Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills odds

Los Angeles
Chargers
SM rating 1412 · #24
16 – 24
Final
Bills -7.5 covered
Under 50.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 27
1:00 PM ET
Highmark Stadium
Buffalo
Bills
SM rating 1697 · #2
LAC 19%BUF 81%
Fair moneyline
+415 / -415
LAC / BUF, no vig
Market win %
25% / 75%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BUF +6 pts
SharpModels 81% · market 75% (no vig)
Ratings
1412 / 1697
LAC / BUF, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Chargers
Moneyline
+300
FanDuel
+260 +300 +275
Bills
Moneyline
-333
DraftKings
-333 -370 -345
Chargers
Spread
+7-109
DraftKings
+7-109 +7.5-122 +7.5-120
Bills
Spread
-7.5+100
bet365
-7-112 -7.5+100 -7.5+100
Over
Total
50.5-105
FanDuel
- 50.5-105 50.5-110
Under
Total
50.5-110
bet365
- 50.5-115 50.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
1.9% 4.5%3.6%4.0%
MarketBest
Chargers
Moneyline
+235
bet365
+210 +235
Bills
Moneyline
-263
DraftKings
-263 -294
Chargers
Spread
+4.5-105
bet365
+4.5-111 +4.5-105
Bills
Spread
-4.5-111
DraftKings
-4.5-111 -4.5-115
Over
Total
24.5-115
bet365
- 24.5-115
Under
Total
24.5-105
bet365
- 24.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.3% 4.5%4.3%
MarketBest
Chargers
Moneyline
+185
DraftKings
+185 +175
Bills
Moneyline
-208
bet365
-227 -208
Chargers
Spread
+2.5+100
bet365
+2.5+100 +2.5+100
Bills
Spread
-2.5-120
bet365
-2.5-120 -2.5-120
Over
Total
9.5-130
bet365
- 9.5-130
Under
Total
9.5+110
bet365
- 9.5+110
Margin
Moneyline
2.6% 4.3%3.7%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

BUF line
-17.5
LAC +17.5
+262-400 - -
-16.5
LAC +16.5
+232-333 - -
-15.5
LAC +15.5
+214-303 - -
-14.5
LAC +14.5
+197-278 - -
-13.5
LAC +13.5
+167-233 - -
-12.5
LAC +12.5
+154-213 - -
-11.5
LAC +11.5
+142-192 - -
-10.5
LAC +10.5
+130-175 - -
-9.5
LAC +9.5
+112-152 - -
-8.5
LAC +8.5
+105-141 - -
-7.5
LAC +7.5
-105-128 +100-122 +100-120
-7
LAC +7
-112-109 - -
-6.5
LAC +6.5
-132-101 - -
-5.5
LAC +5.5
-147+110 - -
-4.5
LAC +4.5
-161+120 - -
-3.5
LAC +3.5
-182+135 - -
-2.5
LAC +2.5
-250+179 - -
-1.5
LAC +1.5
-278+197 - -
+1.5
LAC -1.5
-370+249 - -
+2.5
LAC -2.5
-417+275 - -

Top number: BUF at that line; bottom: LAC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
36
Over / Under
- - -833+480
36.5
Over / Under
- - -769+425
37
Over / Under
- - -714+405
37.5
Over / Under
- - -556+342
38
Over / Under
- - -556+340
38.5
Over / Under
- - -500+324
39
Over / Under
- - -500+320
39.5
Over / Under
- - -455+296
40
Over / Under
- - -455+288
40.5
Over / Under
- - -385+262
41
Over / Under
- - -370+248
41.5
Over / Under
- - -333+225
42
Over / Under
- - -323+222
42.5
Over / Under
- - -312+215
43
Over / Under
- - -294+205
43.5
Over / Under
- - -263+185
44
Over / Under
- - -244+172
44.5
Over / Under
- - -213+158
45
Over / Under
- - -204+152
45.5
Over / Under
- - -196+148
46
Over / Under
- - -192+142
46.5
Over / Under
- - -182+132
47
Over / Under
- - -169+123
47.5
Over / Under
- - -152+112
48
Over / Under
- - -147+108
48.5
Over / Under
- - -143+102
49
Over / Under
- - -139-102
49.5
Over / Under
- - -135-105
50
Over / Under
- - -132-108
50.5
Over / Under
- -105-115 -110-110
51
Over / Under
- - -105-135
51.5
Over / Under
- - +105-145
52
Over / Under
- - +108-147
52.5
Over / Under
- - +112-152
53
Over / Under
- - +121-161
53.5
Over / Under
- - +124-172
54
Over / Under
- - +135-185
54.5
Over / Under
- - +142-192
55
Over / Under
- - +152-204
55.5
Over / Under
- - +158-213
56
Over / Under
- - +165-233
56.5
Over / Under
- - +168-233
57
Over / Under
- - +186-263
57.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278
58
Over / Under
- - +215-312
58.5
Over / Under
- - +222-323
59
Over / Under
- - +236-345
59.5
Over / Under
- - +240-345
60
Over / Under
- - +258-385
60.5
Over / Under
- - +262-385
61
Over / Under
- - +290-455
61.5
Over / Under
- - +300-455
62
Over / Under
- - +320-500
62.5
Over / Under
- - +324-500
63
Over / Under
- - +344-556
63.5
Over / Under
- - +348-588
64
Over / Under
- - +385-667
64.5
Over / Under
- - +395-714
65
Over / Under
- - +440-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.