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New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars odds

New England
Patriots
SM rating 1599 · #8
6 – 35
Final
Jaguars -2.5 covered
Under 46.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 27
1:00 PM ET
EverBank Stadium
Jacksonville
Jaguars
SM rating 1607 · #6
NE 48%JAX 52%
Fair moneyline
+108 / -108
NE / JAX, no vig
Market win %
41% / 59%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NE +7 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 41% (no vig)
Ratings
1599 / 1607
NE / JAX, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
+136
DraftKings
+136 +134 +135
Jaguars
Moneyline
-159
bet365
-164 -159 -159
Patriots
Spread
+3-116
DraftKings
+3-116 +2.5+100 +2.5+100
Jaguars
Spread
-2.5-120
bet365
-3-105 -2.5-122 -2.5-120
Over
Total
46.5-115
bet365
- 46.5-115 46.5-115
Under
Total
46.5-105
bet365
- 46.5-105 46.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.3%4.0%3.8%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+136 +140
Jaguars
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-164 -164
Patriots
Spread
+2.5-105
bet365
+2.5-109 +2.5-105
Jaguars
Spread
-2.5-112
DraftKings
-2.5-112 -2.5-115
Over
Total
23.5-110
bet365
- 23.5-110
Under
Total
23.5-110
bet365
- 23.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.3%3.6%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
+125
bet365
+124 +125
Jaguars
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-149 -149
Patriots
Spread
+0.5-132
DraftKings
+0.5-132 +0.5-135
Jaguars
Spread
-0.5+115
bet365
-0.5+110 -0.5+115
Over
Total
7.5-110
bet365
- 7.5-110
Under
Total
7.5-110
bet365
- 7.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.3%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

JAX line
-12.5
NE +12.5
+302-476 - -
-11.5
NE +11.5
+279-417 - -
-10.5
NE +10.5
+255-385 - -
-9.5
NE +9.5
+216-312 - -
-8.5
NE +8.5
+203-286 - -
-7.5
NE +7.5
+183-256 - -
-6.5
NE +6.5
+147-200 - -
-5.5
NE +5.5
+130-175 - -
-4.5
NE +4.5
+117-159 - -
-3.5
NE +3.5
+105-141 - -
-3
NE +3
-105-116 - -
-2.5
NE +2.5
-132-102 -122+100 -120+100
-1.5
NE +1.5
-147+109 - -
+1.5
NE -1.5
-192+140 - -
+2.5
NE -2.5
-213+155 - -
+3.5
NE -3.5
-303+209 - -
+4.5
NE -4.5
-345+236 - -
+5.5
NE -5.5
-385+259 - -
+6.5
NE -6.5
-455+292 - -
+7.5
NE -7.5
-625+365 - -

Top number: JAX at that line; bottom: NE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
32
Over / Under
- - -1000+530
32.5
Over / Under
- - -909+495
33
Over / Under
- - -833+480
33.5
Over / Under
- - -714+400
34
Over / Under
- - -714+395
34.5
Over / Under
- - -625+365
35
Over / Under
- - -625+360
35.5
Over / Under
- - -556+344
36
Over / Under
- - -556+340
36.5
Over / Under
- - -476+308
37
Over / Under
- - -455+288
37.5
Over / Under
- - -370+246
38
Over / Under
- - -357+244
38.5
Over / Under
- - -345+232
39
Over / Under
- - -333+225
39.5
Over / Under
- - -303+210
40
Over / Under
- - -294+205
40.5
Over / Under
- - -263+185
41
Over / Under
- - -250+175
41.5
Over / Under
- - -227+162
42
Over / Under
- - -222+160
42.5
Over / Under
- - -208+155
43
Over / Under
- - -196+145
43.5
Over / Under
- - -179+128
44
Over / Under
- - -161+121
44.5
Over / Under
- - -149+110
45
Over / Under
- - -147+108
45.5
Over / Under
- - -143+102
46
Over / Under
- - -139-102
46.5
Over / Under
- -115-105 -115-105
47
Over / Under
- - -112-128
47.5
Over / Under
- - -110-130
48
Over / Under
- - -108-132
48.5
Over / Under
- - -102-139
49
Over / Under
- - +105-145
49.5
Over / Under
- - +110-149
50
Over / Under
- - +120-159
50.5
Over / Under
- - +125-175
51
Over / Under
- - +138-189
51.5
Over / Under
- - +150-200
52
Over / Under
- - +155-208
52.5
Over / Under
- - +158-213
53
Over / Under
- - +168-233
53.5
Over / Under
- - +172-244
54
Over / Under
- - +188-270
54.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278
55
Over / Under
- - +210-303
55.5
Over / Under
- - +215-312
56
Over / Under
- - +228-333
56.5
Over / Under
- - +232-345
57
Over / Under
- - +266-400
57.5
Over / Under
- - +274-417
58
Over / Under
- - +296-455
58.5
Over / Under
- - +304-476
59
Over / Under
- - +324-500
59.5
Over / Under
- - +328-526
60
Over / Under
- - +346-588
60.5
Over / Under
- - +350-588
61
Over / Under
- - +395-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.