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Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers odds

Denver
Broncos
SM rating 1652 · #4
14 – 24
Final
49ers -3 covered
Under 48.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 4
4:25 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
San Francisco
49ers
SM rating 1639 · #5
DEN 43%SF 57%
Fair moneyline
+133 / -133
DEN / SF, no vig
Market win %
40% / 60%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
DEN +3 pts
SharpModels 43% · market 40% (no vig)
Ratings
1652 / 1639
DEN / SF, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
+145
bet365
+140 +130 +145
49ers
Moneyline
-154
FanDuel
-167 -154 -169
Broncos
Spread
+3-110
bet365
+3-116 +2.5+102 +3-110
49ers
Spread
-3-105
DraftKings
-3-105 -2.5-123 -3-110
Over
Total
48.5-104
FanDuel
48.5-105 48.5-104 48.5-105
Under
Total
48.5-115
bet365
48.5-116 48.5-118 48.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
1.4% 4.0%3.9%3.5%
MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
+135
bet365
+102 +135
49ers
Moneyline
-123
DraftKings
-123 -159
Broncos
Spread
+2.5-110
bet365
+0.5-116 +2.5-110
49ers
Spread
-0.5-105
DraftKings
-0.5-105 -2.5-110
Over
Total
23.5-115
bet365
23.5-119 23.5-115
Under
Total
23.5-102
DraftKings
23.5-102 23.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
-2.3% 4.5%3.8%
MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+105 +105
49ers
Moneyline
-125
bet365
-125 -125
Broncos
Spread
+0.5-149
bet365
+0.5-149 +0.5-149
49ers
Spread
-0.5+125
bet365
-0.5+124 -0.5+125
Over
Total
9.5-119
DraftKings
9.5-119 9.5-120
Under
Total
9.5+100
bet365
9.5-102 9.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
4.2% 4.2%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SF line
-13.5
DEN +13.5
+337-556 - -
-12.5
DEN +12.5
+306-476 - -
-11.5
DEN +11.5
+284-435 - -
-10.5
DEN +10.5
+259-385 - -
-9.5
DEN +9.5
+220-312 - -
-8.5
DEN +8.5
+207-294 - -
-7.5
DEN +7.5
+186-263 - -
-6.5
DEN +6.5
+150-204 - -
-5.5
DEN +5.5
+131-179 - -
-4.5
DEN +4.5
+118-159 - -
-3.5
DEN +3.5
+105-141 - -
-3
DEN +3
-105-116 - -110-110
-2.5
DEN +2.5
-133+100 -123+102 -125+105
-1.5
DEN +1.5
-147+110 - -
+1.5
DEN -1.5
-196+143 - -
+2.5
DEN -2.5
-217+157 - -
+3.5
DEN -3.5
-312+215 - -
+4.5
DEN -4.5
-357+244 - -
+5.5
DEN -5.5
-400+269 - -
+6.5
DEN -6.5
-476+302 - -
+7.5
DEN -7.5
-667+384 - -

Top number: SF at that line; bottom: DEN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
34
Over / Under
- - -769+425
34.5
Over / Under
-909+486 - -714+395
35
Over / Under
- - -667+390
35.5
Over / Under
-769+438 - -625+365
36
Over / Under
- - -625+355
36.5
Over / Under
-625+380 - -500+324
37
Over / Under
- - -476+312
37.5
Over / Under
-500+322 - -400+270
38
Over / Under
- - -400+266
38.5
Over / Under
-455+291 - -370+248
39
Over / Under
- - -357+244
39.5
Over / Under
-385+255 - -333+225
40
Over / Under
- - -312+218
40.5
Over / Under
-323+225 - -286+202
41
Over / Under
- - -270+188
41.5
Over / Under
-278+195 - -250+175
42
Over / Under
- - -238+170
42.5
Over / Under
-250+178 - -233+165
43
Over / Under
- - -208+155
43.5
Over / Under
-208+153 - -189+140
44
Over / Under
- - -179+130
44.5
Over / Under
-179+133 - -161+121
45
Over / Under
- - -159+118
45.5
Over / Under
-161+119 - -152+112
46
Over / Under
- - -145+105
46.5
Over / Under
-145+108 - -141+100
47
Over / Under
- - -132-108
47.5
Over / Under
-123-110 - -130-110
48
Over / Under
- - -128-112
48.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -104-118 -105-115
49
Over / Under
- - -102-139
49.5
Over / Under
+101-135 - +100-141
50
Over / Under
- - +110-149
50.5
Over / Under
+114-154 - +118-159
51
Over / Under
- - +128-179
51.5
Over / Under
+134-182 - +135-185
52
Over / Under
- - +142-192
52.5
Over / Under
+147-200 - +145-196
53
Over / Under
- - +158-213
53.5
Over / Under
+165-227 - +162-227
54
Over / Under
- - +172-244
54.5
Over / Under
+184-256 - +180-256
55
Over / Under
- - +190-278
55.5
Over / Under
+212-303 - +202-286
56
Over / Under
- - +212-303
56.5
Over / Under
+232-333 - +218-312
57
Over / Under
- - +244-357
57.5
Over / Under
+268-400 - +254-385
58
Over / Under
- - +274-417
58.5
Over / Under
+303-476 - +280-435
59
Over / Under
- - +296-455
59.5
Over / Under
+340-556 - +304-476
60
Over / Under
- - +328-526
60.5
Over / Under
+366-625 - +332-526
61
Over / Under
- - +360-625
61.5
Over / Under
+418-714 - +370-625
62
Over / Under
- - +390-667
62.5
Over / Under
+463-833 - +395-714
63
Over / Under
- - +440-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.