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Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers odds

Detroit
Lions
SM rating 1592 · #9
26 – 32
Final
Lions -4.5 did not cover
Over 52.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 4
8:20 PM ET
Bank of America Stadium
Carolina
Panthers
SM rating 1413 · #23
DET 65%CAR 35%
Fair moneyline
-186 / +186
DET / CAR, no vig
Market win %
67% / 33%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CAR +2 pts
SharpModels 35% · market 33% (no vig)
Ratings
1592 / 1413
DET / CAR, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Lions
Moneyline
-227
bet365
-227 -233 -227
Panthers
Moneyline
+194
FanDuel
+185 +194 +185
Lions
Spread
-4.5-105
bet365
-4.5-105 -4.5-110 -4.5-105
Panthers
Spread
+4.5-110
FanDuel
+4.5-116 +4.5-110 +4.5-115
Over
Total
52.5-105
bet365
52.5-105 52.5-110 52.5-105
Under
Total
52.5-110
FanDuel
52.5-116 52.5-110 52.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.3% 4.3%3.8%4.3%
MarketBest
Lions
Moneyline
-175
DraftKings
-175 -185
Panthers
Moneyline
+155
bet365
+145 +155
Lions
Spread
-3.5+102
DraftKings
-3.5+102 -2.5-125
Panthers
Spread
+2.5+105
bet365
+3.5-123 +2.5+105
Over
Total
25.5-115
bet365
26.5-109 25.5-115
Under
Total
26.5-112
DraftKings
26.5-112 25.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.3%4.0%
MarketBest
Lions
Moneyline
-154
bet365
-156 -154
Panthers
Moneyline
+130
bet365
+130 +130
Lions
Spread
-0.5+105
bet365
-0.5+102 -0.5+105
Panthers
Spread
+0.5-123
DraftKings
+0.5-123 +0.5-125
Over
Total
9.5-130
bet365
9.5-149 9.5-130
Under
Total
9.5+124
DraftKings
9.5+124 9.5+110
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.2%3.9%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

CAR line
-5.5
DET +5.5
+304-476 - -
-4.5
DET +4.5
+279-417 - -
-3.5
DET +3.5
+260-385 - -
-2.5
DET +2.5
+187-263 - -
-1.5
DET +1.5
+172-238 - -
+1.5
DET -1.5
+138-189 - -
+2.5
DET -2.5
+128-172 - -
+3.5
DET -3.5
-104-128 -102-120 -
+4.5
DET -4.5
-116-105 -110-110 -115-105
+5.5
DET -5.5
-128-105 - -
+6.5
DET -6.5
-143+107 - -
+7.5
DET -7.5
-179+133 - -
+8.5
DET -8.5
-200+146 - -
+9.5
DET -9.5
-213+154 - -
+10.5
DET -10.5
-250+178 - -
+11.5
DET -11.5
-270+193 - -
+12.5
DET -12.5
-294+207 - -
+13.5
DET -13.5
-323+226 - -
+14.5
DET -14.5
-400+263 - -

Top number: CAR at that line; bottom: DET at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
38
Over / Under
- - -714+395
38.5
Over / Under
-909+479 - -625+370
39
Over / Under
- - -625+365
39.5
Over / Under
-769+426 - -556+342
40
Over / Under
- - -526+336
40.5
Over / Under
-625+371 - -476+308
41
Over / Under
- - -455+296
41.5
Over / Under
-500+321 - -417+272
42
Over / Under
- - -400+270
42.5
Over / Under
-455+296 - -385+254
43
Over / Under
- - -357+244
43.5
Over / Under
-370+253 - -312+215
44
Over / Under
- - -294+208
44.5
Over / Under
-312+219 - -263+185
45
Over / Under
- - -256+180
45.5
Over / Under
-278+198 - -238+170
46
Over / Under
- - -233+168
46.5
Over / Under
-250+180 - -222+160
47
Over / Under
- - -204+152
47.5
Over / Under
-208+153 - -185+135
48
Over / Under
- - -179+130
48.5
Over / Under
-185+137 - -172+124
49
Over / Under
- - -161+121
49.5
Over / Under
-167+123 - -154+115
50
Over / Under
- - -147+108
50.5
Over / Under
-147+110 - -139-102
51
Over / Under
- - -132-108
51.5
Over / Under
-125-106 -114-106 -130-110
52
Over / Under
- - -128-112
52.5
Over / Under
-105-116 -110-110 -105-115
53
Over / Under
- - -102-139
53.5
Over / Under
-102-132 - +102-143
54
Over / Under
- - +110-149
54.5
Over / Under
+111-147 - +118-159
55
Over / Under
- - +123-169
55.5
Over / Under
+126-169 - +128-179
56
Over / Under
- - +135-185
56.5
Over / Under
+138-185 - +142-192
57
Over / Under
- - +158-213
57.5
Over / Under
+160-217 - +165-233
58
Over / Under
- - +175-250
58.5
Over / Under
+179-250 - +185-263
59
Over / Under
- - +190-278
59.5
Over / Under
+200-286 - +200-278
60
Over / Under
- - +212-303
60.5
Over / Under
+220-312 - +218-312
61
Over / Under
- - +242-357
61.5
Over / Under
+252-370 - +248-370
62
Over / Under
- - +262-385
62.5
Over / Under
+276-417 - +270-400
63
Over / Under
- - +288-455
63.5
Over / Under
+311-476 - +292-455
64
Over / Under
- - +328-526
64.5
Over / Under
+343-556 - +332-526
65
Over / Under
- - +355-625
65.5
Over / Under
+396-667 - +365-625
66
Over / Under
- - +385-667
66.5
Over / Under
+434-769 - +390-667
67
Over / Under
- - +435-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.