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Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds

Green Bay
Packers
SM rating 1542 · #15
17 – 14
Final
Packers -2.5 covered
Under 38.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 4
1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
SM rating 1467 · #18
GB 50%TB 50%
Fair moneyline
+101 / -101
GB / TB, no vig
Market win %
58% / 42%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +8 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 42% (no vig)
Ratings
1542 / 1467
GB / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Packers
Moneyline
-147
FanDuel
-156 -147 -154
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+130
bet365
+130 +126 +130
Packers
Spread
-2.5-115
FanDuel
-3-105 -2.5-115 -2.5-120
Buccaneers
Spread
+3-116
DraftKings
+3-116 +2.5-105 +2.5+100
Over
Total
38.5-115
bet365
- 38.5-115 38.5-115
Under
Total
38.5-105
bet365
- 38.5-105 38.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.9% 4.2%3.6%3.9%
MarketBest
Packers
Moneyline
-132
DraftKings
-132 -135
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+115
bet365
+110 +115
Packers
Spread
-1.5-105
DraftKings
-1.5-105 -0.5-115
Buccaneers
Spread
+0.5-105
bet365
+1.5-116 +0.5-105
Over
Total
19.5-110
bet365
- 19.5-110
Under
Total
19.5-110
bet365
- 19.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.3% 4.3%3.8%
MarketBest
Packers
Moneyline
-120
DraftKings
-120 -125
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+100 +105
Packers
Spread
-0.5+136
DraftKings
-0.5+136 -0.5+130
Buccaneers
Spread
+0.5-154
bet365
+0.5-164 +0.5-154
Over
Total
7.5+130
bet365
- 7.5+130
Under
Total
7.5-154
bet365
- 7.5-154
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.3%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-7.5
GB +7.5
+352-588 - -
-6.5
GB +6.5
+284-435 - -
-5.5
GB +5.5
+246-357 - -
-4.5
GB +4.5
+226-323 - -
-3.5
GB +3.5
+201-286 - -
-2.5
GB +2.5
+150-204 - -
-1.5
GB +1.5
+136-185 - -
+1.5
GB -1.5
+106-143 - -
+2.5
GB -2.5
-103-130 -105-115 +100-120
+3
GB -3
-116-105 - -
+3.5
GB -3.5
-143+106 - -
+4.5
GB -4.5
-161+120 - -
+5.5
GB -5.5
-179+133 - -
+6.5
GB -6.5
-208+152 - -
+7.5
GB -7.5
-270+193 - -
+8.5
GB -8.5
-303+214 - -
+9.5
GB -9.5
-333+231 - -
+10.5
GB -10.5
-417+271 - -
+11.5
GB -11.5
-455+299 - -
+12.5
GB -12.5
-500+322 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: GB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
24
Over / Under
- - -1111+585
24.5
Over / Under
- - -1000+555
25
Over / Under
- - -1000+550
25.5
Over / Under
- - -909+510
26
Over / Under
- - -909+500
26.5
Over / Under
- - -769+435
27
Over / Under
- - -714+420
27.5
Over / Under
- - -625+355
28
Over / Under
- - -588+350
28.5
Over / Under
- - -556+344
29
Over / Under
- - -526+336
29.5
Over / Under
- - -455+288
30
Over / Under
- - -417+274
30.5
Over / Under
- - -345+240
31
Over / Under
- - -345+232
31.5
Over / Under
- - -312+218
32
Over / Under
- - -312+215
32.5
Over / Under
- - -294+205
33
Over / Under
- - -270+188
33.5
Over / Under
- - -233+168
34
Over / Under
- - -227+162
34.5
Over / Under
- - -208+155
35
Over / Under
- - -204+152
35.5
Over / Under
- - -196+145
36
Over / Under
- - -185+135
36.5
Over / Under
- - -164+122
37
Over / Under
- - -152+112
37.5
Over / Under
- - -141+100
38
Over / Under
- - -139-102
38.5
Over / Under
- -115-105 -115-105
39
Over / Under
- - -112-128
39.5
Over / Under
- - -110-130
40
Over / Under
- - -108-132
40.5
Over / Under
- - +100-141
41
Over / Under
- - +108-147
41.5
Over / Under
- - +115-154
42
Over / Under
- - +121-161
42.5
Over / Under
- - +123-169
43
Over / Under
- - +140-189
43.5
Over / Under
- - +152-204
44
Over / Under
- - +165-233
44.5
Over / Under
- - +170-238
45
Over / Under
- - +180-256
45.5
Over / Under
- - +185-263
46
Over / Under
- - +200-278
46.5
Over / Under
- - +205-294
47
Over / Under
- - +225-333
47.5
Over / Under
- - +240-345
48
Over / Under
- - +248-370
48.5
Over / Under
- - +254-385
49
Over / Under
- - +274-417
49.5
Over / Under
- - +278-435
50
Over / Under
- - +316-500
50.5
Over / Under
- - +324-500
51
Over / Under
- - +350-588
51.5
Over / Under
- - +360-625
52
Over / Under
- - +380-667
52.5
Over / Under
- - +385-667
53
Over / Under
- - +430-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.