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Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders odds

Kansas City
Chiefs
SM rating 1592 · #10
30 – 27
Final
Chiefs -4.5 did not cover
Over 47.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 4
4:25 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium
Las Vegas
Raiders
SM rating 1352 · #29
saysFull matchup analysis →
KC 64%LV 36%
Fair moneyline
-182 / +182
KC / LV, no vig
Market win %
66% / 34%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
LV +2 pts
SharpModels 36% · market 34% (no vig)
Ratings
1592 / 1352
KC / LV, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Chiefs
Moneyline
 -192
DraftKings
 -192 -238 -238
Raiders
Moneyline
 +198
FanDuel
 +160 +198 +195
Chiefs
Spread
 -3.5-111
DraftKings
 -3.5-111 -4.5-115 -5.5-110
Raiders
Spread
 +5.5-110
bet365
 +3.5-111 +4.5-105 +5.5-110
Over
Total
 46.5-115
bet365
 47.5-109 47.5-105 46.5-115
Under
Total
 47.5-112
DraftKings
 47.5-112 47.5-115 46.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
 -0.7% 4.0%3.8%4.1%
MarketBest
Chiefs
Moneyline
 -179
bet365
 -200 -179
Raiders
Moneyline
 +164
DraftKings
 +164 +150
Chiefs
Spread
 -3.5+100
bet365
 -3.5-105 -3.5+100
Raiders
Spread
 +3.5-116
DraftKings
 +3.5-116 +3.5-120
Over
Total
 24.5-105
DraftKings
 24.5-105 23.5-120
Under
Total
 23.5+100
bet365
 24.5-116 23.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
 2.0% 4.3%4.0%
MarketBest
Chiefs
Moneyline
 -149
bet365
 -208 -149
Raiders
Moneyline
 +170
DraftKings
 +170 +125
Chiefs
Spread
 -0.5+100
bet365
 -2.5-116 -0.5+100
Raiders
Spread
 +2.5-105
DraftKings
 +2.5-105 +0.5-120
Over
Total
 9.5-115
bet365
 9.5-125 9.5-115
Under
Total
 9.5+105
DraftKings
 9.5+105 9.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
 -3.2% 4.4%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

LV line
-5.5
KC +5.5
 +268-400 - -
-4.5
KC +4.5
 +245-357 - -
-3.5
KC +3.5
 +220-312 - -
-2.5
KC +2.5
 +169-233 - -
-1.5
KC +1.5
 +155-213 - -
+1.5
KC -1.5
 +125-169 - -
+2.5
KC -2.5
 +113-152 - -
+3.5
KC -3.5
 -111-111 - -
+4.5
KC -4.5
 -132-102 -105-115 +100-120
+5.5
KC -5.5
 -143+107 - -110-110
+6.5
KC -6.5
 -164+121 - -
+7.5
KC -7.5
 -200+147 - -
+8.5
KC -8.5
 -227+163 - -
+9.5
KC -9.5
 -238+173 - -
+10.5
KC -10.5
 -286+202 - -
+11.5
KC -11.5
 -323+222 - -
+12.5
KC -12.5
 -357+241 - -
+13.5
KC -13.5
 -400+263 - -
+14.5
KC -14.5
 -476+305 - -

Top number: LV at that line; bottom: KC at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
33
Over / Under
 - - -909+485
33.5
Over / Under
 -1000+519 - -714+405
34
Over / Under
 - - -714+395
34.5
Over / Under
 -909+471 - -625+365
35
Over / Under
 - - -625+360
35.5
Over / Under
 -714+418 - -556+344
36
Over / Under
 - - -556+340
36.5
Over / Under
 -588+358 - -476+312
37
Over / Under
 - - -455+290
37.5
Over / Under
 -476+309 - -370+248
38
Over / Under
 - - -357+244
38.5
Over / Under
 -435+281 - -345+232
39
Over / Under
 - - -333+225
39.5
Over / Under
 -357+245 - -303+212
40
Over / Under
 - - -294+205
40.5
Over / Under
 -312+216 - -263+186
41
Over / Under
 - - -250+175
41.5
Over / Under
 -263+189 - -227+162
42
Over / Under
 - - -222+160
42.5
Over / Under
 -238+171 - -208+155
43
Over / Under
 - - -196+148
43.5
Over / Under
 -196+145 - -179+128
44
Over / Under
 - - -164+122
44.5
Over / Under
 -172+127 - -152+112
45
Over / Under
 - - -147+108
45.5
Over / Under
 -154+114 - -143+102
46
Over / Under
 - - -139-102
46.5
Over / Under
 -135+102 - -115-105
47
Over / Under
 - - -112-128
47.5
Over / Under
 -109-112 -105-115 -110-130
48
Over / Under
 - - -105-135
48.5
Over / Under
 -105-128 - -102-139
49
Over / Under
 - - +105-145
49.5
Over / Under
 +108-145 - +108-147
50
Over / Under
 - - +120-159
50.5
Over / Under
 +123-167 - +125-175
51
Over / Under
 - - +138-189
51.5
Over / Under
 +142-192 - +150-200
52
Over / Under
 - - +155-208
52.5
Over / Under
 +157-217 - +158-213
53
Over / Under
 - - +168-233
53.5
Over / Under
 +175-244 - +172-244
54
Over / Under
 - - +188-270
54.5
Over / Under
 +196-278 - +200-278
55
Over / Under
 - - +210-303
55.5
Over / Under
 +221-323 - +215-312
56
Over / Under
 - - +228-333
56.5
Over / Under
 +244-357 - +232-345
57
Over / Under
 - - +266-400
57.5
Over / Under
 +281-435 - +274-417
58
Over / Under
 - - +296-455
58.5
Over / Under
 +318-500 - +308-476
59
Over / Under
 - - +324-500
59.5
Over / Under
 +356-588 - +328-526
60
Over / Under
 - - +346-588
60.5
Over / Under
 +394-667 - +350-588
61
Over / Under
 - - +395-714
61.5
Over / Under
 +457-833 - +405-714
62
Over / Under
 - - +430-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.