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Miami Dolphins at Minnesota Vikings odds

Miami
Dolphins
SM rating 1371 · #28
10 – 15
Final
Vikings -9.5 did not cover
Under 38.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 4
4:05 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
Minnesota
Vikings
SM rating 1653 · #3
MIA 18%MIN 82%
Fair moneyline
+443 / -443
MIA / MIN, no vig
Market win %
19% / 81%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIN +0 pts
SharpModels 82% · market 81% (no vig)
Ratings
1371 / 1653
MIA / MIN, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Dolphins
Moneyline
+425
bet365
+400 +400 +425
Vikings
Moneyline
-556
DraftKings
-556 -625 -588
Dolphins
Spread
+9.5-105
bet365
+10-116 +9.5-110 +9.5-105
Vikings
Spread
-10-105
DraftKings
-10-105 -9.5-120 -9.5-115
Over
Total
38.5-105
bet365
38.5-109 38.5-114 38.5-105
Under
Total
38.5-112
DraftKings
38.5-112 38.5-114 38.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.7% 4.5%5.8%4.3%
MarketBest
Dolphins
Moneyline
+380
DraftKings
+380 +310
Vikings
Moneyline
-385
bet365
-500 -385
Dolphins
Spread
+6.5-105
bet365
+7.5-125 +6.5-105
Vikings
Spread
-7.5+105
DraftKings
-7.5+105 -6.5-115
Over
Total
19.5-120
bet365
19.5-125 19.5-120
Under
Total
19.5+105
DraftKings
19.5+105 19.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
0.2% 4.0%3.6%
MarketBest
Dolphins
Moneyline
+235
bet365
+230 +235
Vikings
Moneyline
-286
DraftKings
-286 -294
Dolphins
Spread
+2.5+110
DraftKings
+2.5+110 +3-125
Vikings
Spread
-3+105
bet365
-2.5-132 -3+105
Over
Total
7.5+120
DraftKings
7.5+120 7-120
Under
Total
7+100
bet365
7.5-143 7+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.2%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIN line
-19.5
MIA +19.5
+267-400 - -
-18.5
MIA +18.5
+243-357 - -
-17.5
MIA +17.5
+220-312 - -
-16.5
MIA +16.5
+187-263 - -
-15.5
MIA +15.5
+168-233 - -
-14.5
MIA +14.5
+155-213 - -
-13.5
MIA +13.5
+132-179 - -
-12.5
MIA +12.5
+116-156 - -
-11.5
MIA +11.5
+107-143 - -
-10.5
MIA +10.5
-103-130 - -
-10
MIA +10
-105-116 - -
-9.5
MIA +9.5
-123-110 -120-110 -115-105
-8.5
MIA +8.5
-133-101 - -
-7.5
MIA +7.5
-149+111 - -
-6.5
MIA +6.5
-185+136 - -
-5.5
MIA +5.5
-217+158 - -
-4.5
MIA +4.5
-244+174 - -
-3.5
MIA +3.5
-270+194 - -
-2.5
MIA +2.5
-400+267 - -
-1.5
MIA +1.5
-476+301 - -

Top number: MIN at that line; bottom: MIA at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
24
Over / Under
- - -1000+530
24.5
Over / Under
-1667+670 - -833+480
25
Over / Under
- - -833+475
25.5
Over / Under
-1250+588 - -769+445
26
Over / Under
- - -769+430
26.5
Over / Under
-909+489 - -625+370
27
Over / Under
- - -625+355
27.5
Over / Under
-714+418 - -500+320
28
Over / Under
- - -500+316
28.5
Over / Under
-625+376 - -476+304
29
Over / Under
- - -455+290
29.5
Over / Under
-500+314 - -385+254
30
Over / Under
- - -357+242
30.5
Over / Under
-400+265 - -294+208
31
Over / Under
- - -286+202
31.5
Over / Under
-345+236 - -270+188
32
Over / Under
- - -263+186
32.5
Over / Under
-303+211 - -250+175
33
Over / Under
- - -227+162
33.5
Over / Under
-244+175 - -196+145
34
Over / Under
- - -189+140
34.5
Over / Under
-213+154 - -179+128
35
Over / Under
- - -172+124
35.5
Over / Under
-185+136 - -161+121
36
Over / Under
- - -152+112
36.5
Over / Under
-156+116 - -141+100
37
Over / Under
- - -132-108
37.5
Over / Under
-130-103 - -130-110
38
Over / Under
- - -128-112
38.5
Over / Under
-109-112 -114-114 -105-115
39
Over / Under
- - -102-139
39.5
Over / Under
-101-132 - +105-145
40
Over / Under
- - +115-154
40.5
Over / Under
+115-154 - +123-169
41
Over / Under
- - +132-182
41.5
Over / Under
+133-179 - +140-189
42
Over / Under
- - +148-196
42.5
Over / Under
+147-200 - +152-204
43
Over / Under
- - +168-233
43.5
Over / Under
+174-244 - +180-256
44
Over / Under
- - +200-278
44.5
Over / Under
+200-286 - +208-294
45
Over / Under
- - +218-312
45.5
Over / Under
+222-323 - +220-323
46
Over / Under
- - +240-345
46.5
Over / Under
+248-370 - +246-370
47
Over / Under
- - +278-435
47.5
Over / Under
+289-435 - +290-455
48
Over / Under
- - +312-476
48.5
Over / Under
+324-526 - +316-500
49
Over / Under
- - +336-526
49.5
Over / Under
+364-588 - +342-556
50
Over / Under
- - +380-667
50.5
Over / Under
+403-714 - +390-667
51
Over / Under
- - +440-769
51.5
Over / Under
+470-909 - +450-769
52
Over / Under
- - +480-833
52.5
Over / Under
+520-1000 - +485-909
53
Over / Under
- - +555-1000

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.