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Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints odds

Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
45 – 24
Final
Saints -1.5 did not cover
Over 47.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, October 5
8:15 PM ET
Caesars Superdome
New Orleans
Saints
SM rating 1374 · #27
ATL 46%NO 54%
Fair moneyline
+118 / -118
ATL / NO, no vig
Market win %
49% / 51%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NO +3 pts
SharpModels 54% · market 51% (no vig)
Ratings
1462 / 1374
ATL / NO, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
-102
DraftKings
-102 -106 -105
Saints
Moneyline
-110
FanDuel
-119 -110 -115
Falcons
Spread
+1.5-114
FanDuel
+1.5-120 +1.5-114 +1.5-120
Saints
Spread
-1.5+100
bet365
-1.5+100 -1.5-106 -1.5+100
Over
Total
47.5-110
FanDuel
48.5-108 47.5-110 47.5-115
Under
Total
47.5-105
bet365
48.5-125 47.5-110 47.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.6%3.7%4.5%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-111 +100
Saints
Moneyline
-111
DraftKings
-111 -120
Falcons
Spread
-0.5+105
DraftKings
-0.5+105 +0.5-120
Saints
Spread
-0.5+100
bet365
+0.5-125 -0.5+100
Over
Total
23.5-116
DraftKings
23.5-116 23.5-120
Under
Total
23.5+100
bet365
23.5-105 23.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
2.5% 5.0%4.3%
MarketBest
Falcons
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-109 -105
Saints
Moneyline
-112
DraftKings
-112 -115
Falcons
Spread
+0.5-154
bet365
+0.5-164 +0.5-154
Saints
Spread
-0.5+136
DraftKings
-0.5+136 -0.5+130
Over
Total
9.5-115
bet365
9.5-116 9.5-115
Under
Total
9.5-105
bet365
9.5-105 9.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.7%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NO line
-11.5
ATL +11.5
+333-526 - -
-10.5
ATL +10.5
+304-476 - -
-9.5
ATL +9.5
+263-400 - -
-8.5
ATL +8.5
+247-370 - -
-7.5
ATL +7.5
+222-323 - -
-6.5
ATL +6.5
+182-256 - -
-5.5
ATL +5.5
+163-227 - -
-4.5
ATL +4.5
+150-204 - -
-3.5
ATL +3.5
+135-185 - -
-2.5
ATL +2.5
+102-137 - -
-1.5
ATL +1.5
+100-120 -106-114 +100-120
+1.5
ATL -1.5
-133+100 - -
+2.5
ATL -2.5
-147+110 - -
+3.5
ATL -3.5
-196+145 - -
+4.5
ATL -4.5
-222+161 - -
+5.5
ATL -5.5
-250+177 - -
+6.5
ATL -6.5
-294+205 - -
+7.5
ATL -7.5
-370+248 - -
+8.5
ATL -8.5
-417+280 - -

Top number: NO at that line; bottom: ATL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
33
Over / Under
- - -1000+560
33.5
Over / Under
-1111+525 - -833+470
34
Over / Under
- - -833+465
34.5
Over / Under
-909+475 - -769+430
35
Over / Under
- - -769+425
35.5
Over / Under
-769+426 - -714+400
36
Over / Under
- - -667+390
36.5
Over / Under
-625+371 - -588+346
37
Over / Under
- - -526+336
37.5
Over / Under
-500+313 - -435+284
38
Over / Under
- - -435+280
38.5
Over / Under
-435+282 - -400+270
39
Over / Under
- - -400+266
39.5
Over / Under
-357+246 - -357+244
40
Over / Under
- - -345+236
40.5
Over / Under
-312+215 - -312+215
41
Over / Under
- - -294+208
41.5
Over / Under
-263+188 - -270+188
42
Over / Under
- - -263+186
42.5
Over / Under
-238+171 - -250+175
43
Over / Under
- - -233+168
43.5
Over / Under
-200+146 - -204+152
44
Over / Under
- - -196+145
44.5
Over / Under
-172+127 - -179+128
45
Over / Under
- - -172+124
45.5
Over / Under
-156+115 - -161+121
46
Over / Under
- - -159+118
46.5
Over / Under
-141+104 - -149+110
47
Over / Under
- - -141+100
47.5
Over / Under
-119-102 -110-110 -115-105
48
Over / Under
- - -112-128
48.5
Over / Under
-108-125 - -110-130
49
Over / Under
- - -108-132
49.5
Over / Under
+106-143 - -105-135
50
Over / Under
- - -102-139
50.5
Over / Under
+120-161 - +108-147
51
Over / Under
- - +118-159
51.5
Over / Under
+140-192 - +124-172
52
Over / Under
- - +130-179
52.5
Over / Under
+152-208 - +132-182
53
Over / Under
- - +145-196
53.5
Over / Under
+171-238 - +152-204
54
Over / Under
- - +162-227
54.5
Over / Under
+191-270 - +168-233
55
Over / Under
- - +180-256
55.5
Over / Under
+216-312 - +185-263
56
Over / Under
- - +190-278
56.5
Over / Under
+236-345 - +202-286
57
Over / Under
- - +222-323
57.5
Over / Under
+271-417 - +232-345
58
Over / Under
- - +254-385
58.5
Over / Under
+303-476 - +262-385
59
Over / Under
- - +274-417
59.5
Over / Under
+337-556 - +278-435
60
Over / Under
- - +300-455
60.5
Over / Under
+373-625 - +308-476
61
Over / Under
- - +340-556
61.5
Over / Under
+426-769 - +346-588
62
Over / Under
- - +360-625

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.