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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys odds

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
SM rating 1467 · #18
24 – 16
Final
Cowboys -9.5 did not cover
Under 48.5
vs the most common closing line
Thursday, October 8
8:15 PM ET
AT&T Stadium
Dallas
Cowboys
SM rating 1461 · #20
TB 37%DAL 63%
Fair moneyline
+169 / -169
TB / DAL, no vig
Market win %
19% / 81%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +18 pts
SharpModels 37% · market 19% (no vig)
Ratings
1467 / 1461
TB / DAL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 18 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+400
DraftKings
+400 +400 +390
Cowboys
Moneyline
-526
bet365
-556 -526 -526
Buccaneers
Spread
+9.5-110
bet365
+9.5-112 +9.5-110 +9.5-110
Cowboys
Spread
-9.5-109
DraftKings
-9.5-109 -9.5-110 -9.5-110
Over
Total
49.5-105
bet365
- 48.5-118 49.5-105
Under
Total
48.5-104
FanDuel
- 48.5-104 49.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.5%3.9%4.2%
MarketBest
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+280
DraftKings
+280 +265
Cowboys
Moneyline
-333
bet365
-357 -333
Buccaneers
Spread
+6.5-110
bet365
+6.5-116 +6.5-110
Cowboys
Spread
-6.5-105
DraftKings
-6.5-105 -6.5-110
Over
Total
24.5-110
bet365
- 24.5-110
Under
Total
24.5-110
bet365
- 24.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.2%4.1%
MarketBest
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+210
DraftKings
+210 +200
Cowboys
Moneyline
-244
bet365
-263 -244
Buccaneers
Spread
+2.5+110
DraftKings
+2.5+110 +2.5+105
Cowboys
Spread
-2.5-125
bet365
-2.5-132 -2.5-125
Over
Total
9.5-120
bet365
- 9.5-120
Under
Total
9.5+100
bet365
- 9.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.5%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

DAL line
-19.5
TB +19.5
+287-435 - -
-18.5
TB +18.5
+262-385 - -
-17.5
TB +17.5
+233-345 - -
-16.5
TB +16.5
+201-286 - -
-15.5
TB +15.5
+185-256 - -
-14.5
TB +14.5
+169-233 - -
-13.5
TB +13.5
+141-192 - -
-12.5
TB +12.5
+127-172 - -
-11.5
TB +11.5
+117-156 - -
-10.5
TB +10.5
+106-143 - -
-9.5
TB +9.5
-109-112 -110-110 -110-110
-8.5
TB +8.5
-122-111 - -
-7.5
TB +7.5
-135+102 - -
-6.5
TB +6.5
-182+134 - -
-5.5
TB +5.5
-208+151 - -
-4.5
TB +4.5
-233+168 - -
-3.5
TB +3.5
-263+187 - -
-2.5
TB +2.5
-417+271 - -
-1.5
TB +1.5
-476+304 - -

Top number: DAL at that line; bottom: TB at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
34.5
Over / Under
- - -833+475
35
Over / Under
- - -833+470
35.5
Over / Under
- - -769+440
36
Over / Under
- - -769+425
36.5
Over / Under
- - -625+370
37
Over / Under
- - -625+355
37.5
Over / Under
- - -500+316
38
Over / Under
- - -476+312
38.5
Over / Under
- - -455+292
39
Over / Under
- - -455+288
39.5
Over / Under
- - -400+270
40
Over / Under
- - -385+258
40.5
Over / Under
- - -345+232
41
Over / Under
- - -323+222
41.5
Over / Under
- - -294+208
42
Over / Under
- - -286+202
42.5
Over / Under
- - -270+188
43
Over / Under
- - -256+180
43.5
Over / Under
- - -222+160
44
Over / Under
- - -208+155
44.5
Over / Under
- - -189+140
45
Over / Under
- - -185+135
45.5
Over / Under
- - -179+128
46
Over / Under
- - -169+123
46.5
Over / Under
- - -159+118
47
Over / Under
- - -147+108
47.5
Over / Under
- - -135-105
48
Over / Under
- - -132-108
48.5
Over / Under
- -118-104 -130-110
49
Over / Under
- - -128-112
49.5
Over / Under
- - -105-115
50
Over / Under
- - -102-139
50.5
Over / Under
- - +102-143
51
Over / Under
- - +112-152
51.5
Over / Under
- - +121-161
52
Over / Under
- - +123-169
52.5
Over / Under
- - +125-175
53
Over / Under
- - +138-189
53.5
Over / Under
- - +145-196
54
Over / Under
- - +158-213
54.5
Over / Under
- - +165-233
55
Over / Under
- - +172-244
55.5
Over / Under
- - +180-256
56
Over / Under
- - +188-270
56.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278
57
Over / Under
- - +220-323
57.5
Over / Under
- - +228-333
58
Over / Under
- - +248-370
58.5
Over / Under
- - +254-385
59
Over / Under
- - +272-417
59.5
Over / Under
- - +274-417
60
Over / Under
- - +296-455
60.5
Over / Under
- - +308-476
61
Over / Under
- - +340-556
61.5
Over / Under
- - +344-556
62
Over / Under
- - +360-625
62.5
Over / Under
- - +365-625
63
Over / Under
- - +400-714
63.5
Over / Under
- - +410-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.