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Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons odds

Baltimore
Ravens
SM rating 1542 · #14
30 – 23
Final
Falcons -3.5 did not cover
Over 43.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 11
8:20 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
BAL 56%ATL 44%
Fair moneyline
-128 / +128
BAL / ATL, no vig
Market win %
39% / 61%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
BAL +17 pts
SharpModels 56% · market 39% (no vig)
Ratings
1542 / 1462
BAL / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 17 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
+148
bet365
+145 +144 +148
Falcons
Moneyline
-172
FanDuel
-175 -172 -175
Ravens
Spread
+3+100
DraftKings
+3+100 +3.5-122 +3.5-123
Falcons
Spread
-3.5+103
bet365
-3-120 -3.5+100 -3.5+103
Over
Total
43.5-115
FanDuel
43.5-125 43.5-115 44-111
Under
Total
44-109
bet365
43.5-108 43.5-105 44-109
Margin
Moneyline
3.4% 4.3%4.0%3.8%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
+140
bet365
+136 +140
Falcons
Moneyline
-164
bet365
-164 -164
Ravens
Spread
+2.5-105
bet365
+2.5-111 +2.5-105
Falcons
Spread
-2.5-111
DraftKings
-2.5-111 -2.5-115
Over
Total
21.5-105
bet365
20.5-116 21.5-105
Under
Total
20.5-105
DraftKings
20.5-105 21.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.3%3.6%
MarketBest
Ravens
Moneyline
+125
bet365
+124 +125
Falcons
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-149 -149
Ravens
Spread
+0.5-135
bet365
+0.5-135 +0.5-135
Falcons
Spread
-0.5+115
bet365
-0.5+114 -0.5+115
Over
Total
7.5+102
DraftKings
7.5+102 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
7.5-123 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
4.1% 4.3%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-13.5
BAL +13.5
+319-500 - -
-12.5
BAL +12.5
+289-435 - -
-11.5
BAL +11.5
+265-400 - -
-10.5
BAL +10.5
+240-357 - -
-9.5
BAL +9.5
+200-286 - -
-8.5
BAL +8.5
+186-263 - -
-7.5
BAL +7.5
+168-233 - -
-6.5
BAL +6.5
+133-182 - -
-5.5
BAL +5.5
+117-156 - -
-4.5
BAL +4.5
+106-143 - -
-3.5
BAL +3.5
+105-125 +100-122 +103-123
-3
BAL +3
-120+100 - -
-2.5
BAL +2.5
-154+114 - -
-1.5
BAL +1.5
-169+126 - -
+1.5
BAL -1.5
-217+159 - -
+2.5
BAL -2.5
-244+174 - -
+3.5
BAL -3.5
-333+231 - -
+4.5
BAL -4.5
-385+262 - -
+5.5
BAL -5.5
-435+287 - -
+6.5
BAL -6.5
-526+323 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: BAL at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
29
Over / Under
- - -1250+600
29.5
Over / Under
-1429+600 - -1000+530
30
Over / Under
- - -909+515
30.5
Over / Under
-1000+512 - -714+420
31
Over / Under
- - -714+415
31.5
Over / Under
-833+460 - -667+385
32
Over / Under
- - -667+380
32.5
Over / Under
-714+416 - -625+355
33
Over / Under
- - -588+346
33.5
Over / Under
-556+343 - -476+308
34
Over / Under
- - -455+300
34.5
Over / Under
-476+307 - -417+275
35
Over / Under
- - -417+272
35.5
Over / Under
-417+275 - -385+262
36
Over / Under
- - -370+248
36.5
Over / Under
-357+240 - -333+225
37
Over / Under
- - -303+212
37.5
Over / Under
-286+202 - -263+185
38
Over / Under
- - -256+180
38.5
Over / Under
-256+183 - -238+170
39
Over / Under
- - -233+165
39.5
Over / Under
-222+161 - -213+158
40
Over / Under
- - -200+150
40.5
Over / Under
-192+141 - -189+138
41
Over / Under
- - -179+128
41.5
Over / Under
-167+123 - -161+121
42
Over / Under
- - -159+118
42.5
Over / Under
-149+111 - -152+112
43
Over / Under
- - -143+102
43.5
Over / Under
-125-108 -115-105 -132-108
44
Over / Under
- - -111-109
44.5
Over / Under
-102-119 - -108-132
45
Over / Under
- - -105-135
45.5
Over / Under
+104-141 - -102-139
46
Over / Under
- - +102-143
46.5
Over / Under
+116-156 - +108-147
47
Over / Under
- - +120-159
47.5
Over / Under
+136-185 - +125-175
48
Over / Under
- - +132-182
48.5
Over / Under
+153-208 - +135-185
49
Over / Under
- - +148-196
49.5
Over / Under
+172-238 - +152-204
50
Over / Under
- - +165-233
50.5
Over / Under
+196-278 - +172-244
51
Over / Under
- - +188-270
51.5
Over / Under
+229-333 - +202-286
52
Over / Under
- - +210-303
52.5
Over / Under
+253-370 - +212-303
53
Over / Under
- - +232-345
53.5
Over / Under
+285-435 - +240-345
54
Over / Under
- - +258-385
54.5
Over / Under
+319-500 - +270-400
55
Over / Under
- - +284-435
55.5
Over / Under
+363-588 - +290-455
56
Over / Under
- - +316-500
56.5
Over / Under
+396-667 - +320-500
57
Over / Under
- - +350-588
57.5
Over / Under
+460-833 - +360-625
58
Over / Under
- - +395-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.