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Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers odds

Chicago
Bears
SM rating 1577 · #11
7 – 31
Final
Bears -1.5 did not cover
Under 46.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 11
1:00 PM ET
Lambeau Field
Green Bay
Packers
SM rating 1542 · #15
CHI 50%GB 50%
Fair moneyline
+100 / +100
CHI / GB, no vig
Market win %
53% / 47%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
GB +3 pts
SharpModels 50% · market 47% (no vig)
Ratings
1577 / 1542
CHI / GB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Bears
Moneyline
-120
FanDuel
-125 -120 -122
Packers
Moneyline
+105
DraftKings
+105 +102 +102
Bears
Spread
-1.5-106
FanDuel
-2.5-111 -1.5-106 -1.5-110
Packers
Spread
+1.5-110
bet365
+2.5-122 +1.5-114 +1.5-110
Over
Total
46.5-112
FanDuel
- 46.5-112 46.5-115
Under
Total
46.5-105
bet365
- 46.5-108 46.5-105
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.2%3.9%4.3%
MarketBest
Bears
Moneyline
-111
bet365
-123 -111
Packers
Moneyline
+102
DraftKings
+102 -109
Bears
Spread
-0.5+115
bet365
-0.5-102 -0.5+115
Packers
Spread
+0.5-119
DraftKings
+0.5-119 +0.5-135
Over
Total
22.5-120
bet365
- 22.5-120
Under
Total
22.5+100
bet365
- 22.5+100
Margin
Moneyline
2.1% 4.5%4.5%
MarketBest
Bears
Moneyline
-115
bet365
-119 -115
Packers
Moneyline
-102
DraftKings
-102 -105
Bears
Spread
-0.5+140
bet365
-0.5+136 -0.5+140
Packers
Spread
+0.5-164
bet365
+0.5-164 +0.5-164
Over
Total
9.5-110
bet365
- 9.5-110
Under
Total
9.5-110
bet365
- 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.6%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

GB line
-8.5
CHI +8.5
+321-500 - -
-7.5
CHI +7.5
+292-455 - -
-6.5
CHI +6.5
+235-345 - -
-5.5
CHI +5.5
+207-294 - -
-4.5
CHI +4.5
+188-263 - -
-3.5
CHI +3.5
+168-233 - -
-2.5
CHI +2.5
+123-167 - -
-1.5
CHI +1.5
+111-149 - -
+1.5
CHI -1.5
-105-116 -114-106 -110-110
+2.5
CHI -2.5
-122-111 - -
+3.5
CHI -3.5
-175+130 - -
+4.5
CHI -4.5
-200+146 - -
+5.5
CHI -5.5
-222+160 - -
+6.5
CHI -6.5
-250+180 - -
+7.5
CHI -7.5
-323+225 - -
+8.5
CHI -8.5
-370+247 - -
+9.5
CHI -9.5
-385+261 - -
+10.5
CHI -10.5
-476+305 - -
+11.5
CHI -11.5
-526+333 - -

Top number: GB at that line; bottom: CHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
32
Over / Under
- - -909+495
32.5
Over / Under
- - -833+465
33
Over / Under
- - -769+450
33.5
Over / Under
- - -667+375
34
Over / Under
- - -625+370
34.5
Over / Under
- - -588+348
35
Over / Under
- - -556+344
35.5
Over / Under
- - -526+332
36
Over / Under
- - -500+324
36.5
Over / Under
- - -455+288
37
Over / Under
- - -417+272
37.5
Over / Under
- - -345+236
38
Over / Under
- - -345+232
38.5
Over / Under
- - -323+220
39
Over / Under
- - -303+212
39.5
Over / Under
- - -286+202
40
Over / Under
- - -278+190
40.5
Over / Under
- - -250+175
41
Over / Under
- - -233+168
41.5
Over / Under
- - -208+155
42
Over / Under
- - -204+152
42.5
Over / Under
- - -200+150
43
Over / Under
- - -189+138
43.5
Over / Under
- - -164+122
44
Over / Under
- - -154+115
44.5
Over / Under
- - -145+105
45
Over / Under
- - -143+102
45.5
Over / Under
- - -141+100
46
Over / Under
- - -139-102
46.5
Over / Under
- -112-108 -115-105
47
Over / Under
- - -112-128
47.5
Over / Under
- - -105-135
48
Over / Under
- - +100-141
48.5
Over / Under
- - +102-143
49
Over / Under
- - +110-149
49.5
Over / Under
- - +115-154
50
Over / Under
- - +123-169
50.5
Over / Under
- - +132-182
51
Over / Under
- - +148-196
51.5
Over / Under
- - +155-208
52
Over / Under
- - +160-222
52.5
Over / Under
- - +162-227
53
Over / Under
- - +175-250
53.5
Over / Under
- - +185-263
54
Over / Under
- - +200-278
54.5
Over / Under
- - +205-294
55
Over / Under
- - +218-312
55.5
Over / Under
- - +225-333
56
Over / Under
- - +240-345
56.5
Over / Under
- - +244-357
57
Over / Under
- - +274-417
57.5
Over / Under
- - +284-435
58
Over / Under
- - +312-476
58.5
Over / Under
- - +320-500
59
Over / Under
- - +336-526
59.5
Over / Under
- - +340-556
60
Over / Under
- - +355-625
60.5
Over / Under
- - +365-625
61
Over / Under
- - +410-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.