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Denver Broncos at Los Angeles Chargers odds

Denver
Broncos
SM rating 1652 · #4
23 – 17
Final
Broncos -3.5 covered
Under 42.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 11
4:05 PM ET
SoFi Stadium
Los Angeles
Chargers
SM rating 1412 · #24
DEN 62%LAC 38%
Fair moneyline
-167 / +167
DEN / LAC, no vig
Market win %
62% / 38%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
DEN +1 pts
SharpModels 62% · market 62% (no vig)
Ratings
1652 / 1412
DEN / LAC, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
-172
DraftKings
-172 -189 -182
Chargers
Moneyline
+158
FanDuel
+142 +158 +151
Broncos
Spread
-3-112
DraftKings
-3-112 -3.5-110 -3.5-108
Chargers
Spread
+3.5-110
FanDuel
+3-109 +3.5-110 +3.5-114
Over
Total
42.5-105
FanDuel
42.5-112 42.5-105 42.5-109
Under
Total
42.5-109
DraftKings
42.5-109 42.5-115 42.5-111
Margin
Moneyline
2.0% 4.4%4.0%4.2%
MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-167 -149
Chargers
Moneyline
+140
DraftKings
+140 +125
Broncos
Spread
-1.5-111
bet365
-2.5-116 -1.5-111
Chargers
Spread
+2.5-105
DraftKings
+2.5-105 +1.5-109
Over
Total
20.5-106
bet365
20.5-112 20.5-106
Under
Total
20.5-109
DraftKings
20.5-109 20.5-114
Margin
Moneyline
1.5% 4.0%4.1%
MarketBest
Broncos
Moneyline
-167
DraftKings
-167 -185
Chargers
Moneyline
+155
bet365
+140 +155
Broncos
Spread
-1.5+115
bet365
-0.5+102 -1.5+115
Chargers
Spread
+0.5-123
DraftKings
+0.5-123 +1.5-135
Over
Total
7.5+102
DraftKings
7.5+102 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
7.5-123 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
1.7% 4.0%4.0%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

LAC line
-6.5
DEN +6.5
+298-455 - -
-5.5
DEN +5.5
+260-385 - -
-4.5
DEN +4.5
+238-345 - -
-3.5
DEN +3.5
+213-303 - -
-2.5
DEN +2.5
+158-217 - -
-1.5
DEN +1.5
+143-192 - -
+1.5
DEN -1.5
+112-152 - -
+2.5
DEN -2.5
+102-137 - -
+3
DEN -3
-109-112 - -
+3.5
DEN -3.5
-132-101 -110-110 -114-108
+4.5
DEN -4.5
-147+111 - -
+5.5
DEN -5.5
-164+122 - -
+6.5
DEN -6.5
-189+138 - -
+7.5
DEN -7.5
-238+170 - -
+8.5
DEN -8.5
-263+189 - -
+9.5
DEN -9.5
-286+203 - -
+10.5
DEN -10.5
-357+241 - -
+11.5
DEN -11.5
-385+259 - -
+12.5
DEN -12.5
-435+281 - -
+13.5
DEN -13.5
-476+309 - -

Top number: LAC at that line; bottom: DEN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
28
Over / Under
- - -909+510
28.5
Over / Under
-1429+600 - -909+490
29
Over / Under
- - -833+475
29.5
Over / Under
-1000+499 - -714+395
30
Over / Under
- - -667+380
30.5
Over / Under
-769+423 - -526+328
31
Over / Under
- - -500+324
31.5
Over / Under
-625+378 - -476+312
32
Over / Under
- - -476+304
32.5
Over / Under
-556+338 - -435+284
33
Over / Under
- - -417+272
33.5
Over / Under
-435+281 - -345+236
34
Over / Under
- - -333+228
34.5
Over / Under
-370+252 - -312+215
35
Over / Under
- - -303+210
35.5
Over / Under
-323+223 - -286+202
36
Over / Under
- - -270+188
36.5
Over / Under
-270+193 - -238+170
37
Over / Under
- - -222+160
37.5
Over / Under
-222+162 - -192+142
38
Over / Under
- - -189+138
38.5
Over / Under
-200+147 - -182+132
39
Over / Under
- - -172+124
39.5
Over / Under
-175+130 - -159+120
40
Over / Under
- - -149+110
40.5
Over / Under
-154+114 - -141+100
41
Over / Under
- - -135-105
41.5
Over / Under
-132-101 - -132-108
42
Over / Under
- - -130-110
42.5
Over / Under
-112-109 -105-115 -109-111
43
Over / Under
- - -105-135
43.5
Over / Under
-101-132 - +105-145
44
Over / Under
- - +115-154
44.5
Over / Under
+112-152 - +122-164
45
Over / Under
- - +125-175
45.5
Over / Under
+126-169 - +130-179
46
Over / Under
- - +138-189
46.5
Over / Under
+141-192 - +145-196
47
Over / Under
- - +160-222
47.5
Over / Under
+164-227 - +168-233
48
Over / Under
- - +175-250
48.5
Over / Under
+180-250 - +180-256
49
Over / Under
- - +190-278
49.5
Over / Under
+203-286 - +202-286
50
Over / Under
- - +222-323
50.5
Over / Under
+231-333 - +232-345
51
Over / Under
- - +254-385
51.5
Over / Under
+270-400 - +266-400
52
Over / Under
- - +275-417
52.5
Over / Under
+295-455 - +278-435
53
Over / Under
- - +312-476
53.5
Over / Under
+334-526 - +320-500
54
Over / Under
- - +344-556
54.5
Over / Under
+372-625 - +348-588
55
Over / Under
- - +370-625
55.5
Over / Under
+425-769 - +380-667
56
Over / Under
- - +410-714
56.5
Over / Under
+462-833 - +415-714
57
Over / Under
- - +485-909

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.