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Las Vegas Raiders at New England Patriots odds

Las Vegas
Raiders
SM rating 1352 · #29
17 – 45
Final
Patriots -3.5 covered
Over 45.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 11
1:00 PM ET
Gillette Stadium
New England
Patriots
SM rating 1599 · #8
LV 21%NE 79%
Fair moneyline
+366 / -366
LV / NE, no vig
Market win %
38% / 62%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
NE +17 pts
SharpModels 79% · market 62% (no vig)
Ratings
1352 / 1599
LV / NE, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something. These two are 17 points apart.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Raiders
Moneyline
+152
bet365
+150 +148 +152
Patriots
Moneyline
-175
FanDuel
-182 -175 -182
Raiders
Spread
+3.5-115
FanDuel
+3.5-120 +3.5-115 +3.5-116
Patriots
Spread
-3.5+100
DraftKings
-3.5+100 -3.5-105 -3.5-104
Over
Total
45.5-105
bet365
- 45.5-105 45.5-105
Under
Total
45.5-115
bet365
- 45.5-115 45.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.3%3.8%4.1%
MarketBest
Raiders
Moneyline
+150
DraftKings
+150 +145
Patriots
Moneyline
-169
bet365
-182 -169
Raiders
Spread
+2.5+102
DraftKings
+2.5+102 +2.5+100
Patriots
Spread
-2.5-120
bet365
-2.5-123 -2.5-120
Over
Total
22.5-118
bet365
- 22.5-118
Under
Total
22.5-103
bet365
- 22.5-103
Margin
Moneyline
2.7% 4.3%3.5%
MarketBest
Raiders
Moneyline
+130
DraftKings
+130 +125
Patriots
Moneyline
-149
bet365
-156 -149
Raiders
Spread
+0.5-125
bet365
+0.5-125 +0.5-125
Patriots
Spread
-0.5+105
bet365
-0.5+105 -0.5+105
Over
Total
7.5+100
bet365
- 7.5+100
Under
Total
7.5-120
bet365
- 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.2%4.1%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

NE line
-13.5
LV +13.5
+286-435 - -
-12.5
LV +12.5
+259-385 - -
-11.5
LV +11.5
+241-357 - -
-10.5
LV +10.5
+220-312 - -
-9.5
LV +9.5
+189-263 - -
-8.5
LV +8.5
+177-250 - -
-7.5
LV +7.5
+159-217 - -
-6.5
LV +6.5
+127-172 - -
-5.5
LV +5.5
+113-152 - -
-4.5
LV +4.5
+103-137 - -
-3.5
LV +3.5
+100-120 -105-115 -104-116
-2.5
LV +2.5
-161+119 - -
-1.5
LV +1.5
-172+127 - -
+1.5
LV -1.5
-227+165 - -
+2.5
LV -2.5
-250+181 - -
+3.5
LV -3.5
-357+246 - -
+4.5
LV -4.5
-417+279 - -
+5.5
LV -5.5
-476+308 - -
+6.5
LV -6.5
-556+347 - -

Top number: NE at that line; bottom: LV at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
31
Over / Under
- - -833+460
31.5
Over / Under
- - -769+425
32
Over / Under
- - -714+420
32.5
Over / Under
- - -714+395
33
Over / Under
- - -667+380
33.5
Over / Under
- - -526+332
34
Over / Under
- - -526+328
34.5
Over / Under
- - -476+308
35
Over / Under
- - -476+304
35.5
Over / Under
- - -435+284
36
Over / Under
- - -417+274
36.5
Over / Under
- - -370+246
37
Over / Under
- - -345+236
37.5
Over / Under
- - -294+205
38
Over / Under
- - -286+202
38.5
Over / Under
- - -270+188
39
Over / Under
- - -263+185
39.5
Over / Under
- - -238+170
40
Over / Under
- - -227+162
40.5
Over / Under
- - -204+152
41
Over / Under
- - -196+145
41.5
Over / Under
- - -182+132
42
Over / Under
- - -179+128
42.5
Over / Under
- - -169+123
43
Over / Under
- - -154+115
43.5
Over / Under
- - -143+102
44
Over / Under
- - -132-108
44.5
Over / Under
- - -130-110
45
Over / Under
- - -128-112
45.5
Over / Under
- -105-115 -105-115
46
Over / Under
- - -102-139
46.5
Over / Under
- - +100-141
47
Over / Under
- - +105-145
47.5
Over / Under
- - +115-154
48
Over / Under
- - +122-164
48.5
Over / Under
- - +123-169
49
Over / Under
- - +130-179
49.5
Over / Under
- - +138-189
50
Over / Under
- - +152-204
50.5
Over / Under
- - +158-213
51
Over / Under
- - +172-244
51.5
Over / Under
- - +180-256
52
Over / Under
- - +188-270
52.5
Over / Under
- - +190-278
53
Over / Under
- - +210-303
53.5
Over / Under
- - +218-312
54
Over / Under
- - +236-345
54.5
Over / Under
- - +244-357
55
Over / Under
- - +262-385
55.5
Over / Under
- - +270-400
56
Over / Under
- - +284-435
56.5
Over / Under
- - +290-455
57
Over / Under
- - +328-526
57.5
Over / Under
- - +340-556
58
Over / Under
- - +360-625
58.5
Over / Under
- - +370-625
59
Over / Under
- - +395-714
59.5
Over / Under
- - +400-714
60
Over / Under
- - +435-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.