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Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons odds

Chicago
Bears
SM rating 1577 · #11
31 – 23
Final
Bears -1.5 covered
Over 51.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 18
1:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
CHI 53%ATL 47%
Fair moneyline
-112 / +112
CHI / ATL, no vig
Market win %
52% / 48%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CHI +1 pts
SharpModels 53% · market 52% (no vig)
Ratings
1577 / 1462
CHI / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Bears
Moneyline
-118
bet365
-119 -118 -118
Falcons
Moneyline
-102
DraftKings
-102 -102 -103
Bears
Spread
-1.5-105
FanDuel
-1.5-109 -1.5-105 -1.5-108
Falcons
Spread
+1.5-112
DraftKings
+1.5-112 +1.5-115 +1.5-114
Over
Total
51.5-109
bet365
- 51.5-110 51.5-109
Under
Total
51.5-110
FanDuel
- 51.5-110 51.5-111
Margin
Moneyline
4.4% 4.6%4.4%4.6%
MarketBest
Bears
Moneyline
-112
DraftKings
-112 -116
Falcons
Moneyline
-104
bet365
-109 -104
Bears
Spread
-0.5+103
bet365
-0.5+102 -0.5+103
Falcons
Spread
+0.5-123
bet365
+0.5-123 +0.5-123
Over
Total
25.5-111
bet365
- 25.5-111
Under
Total
25.5-109
bet365
- 25.5-109
Margin
Moneyline
3.7% 4.7%4.5%
MarketBest
Bears
Moneyline
-109
DraftKings
-109 -115
Falcons
Moneyline
-105
bet365
-112 -105
Bears
Spread
+0.5-159
bet365
+0.5-164 +0.5-159
Falcons
Spread
-0.5+136
DraftKings
-0.5+136 -0.5+135
Over
Total
9.5-141
bet365
- 9.5-141
Under
Total
9.5+120
bet365
- 9.5+120
Margin
Moneyline
3.3% 4.7%4.5%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
-8.5
CHI +8.5
+284-435 - -
-7.5
CHI +7.5
+258-385 - -
-6.5
CHI +6.5
+206-294 - -
-5.5
CHI +5.5
+185-256 - -
-4.5
CHI +4.5
+169-233 - -
-3.5
CHI +3.5
+152-208 - -
-2.5
CHI +2.5
+112-152 - -
-1.5
CHI +1.5
+101-135 - -
+1.5
CHI -1.5
-112-109 -115-105 -114-108
+2.5
CHI -2.5
-141+105 - -
+3.5
CHI -3.5
-192+142 - -
+4.5
CHI -4.5
-217+157 - -
+5.5
CHI -5.5
-238+171 - -
+6.5
CHI -6.5
-270+193 - -
+7.5
CHI -7.5
-345+239 - -
+8.5
CHI -8.5
-400+265 - -
+9.5
CHI -9.5
-417+280 - -
+10.5
CHI -10.5
-526+328 - -
+11.5
CHI -11.5
-588+358 - -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: CHI at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
37
Over / Under
- - -909+490
37.5
Over / Under
- - -714+400
38
Over / Under
- - -714+395
38.5
Over / Under
- - -625+370
39
Over / Under
- - -625+360
39.5
Over / Under
- - -556+342
40
Over / Under
- - -526+336
40.5
Over / Under
- - -476+308
41
Over / Under
- - -455+296
41.5
Over / Under
- - -417+272
42
Over / Under
- - -400+270
42.5
Over / Under
- - -385+254
43
Over / Under
- - -357+242
43.5
Over / Under
- - -312+215
44
Over / Under
- - -294+208
44.5
Over / Under
- - -263+185
45
Over / Under
- - -256+180
45.5
Over / Under
- - -238+170
46
Over / Under
- - -233+168
46.5
Over / Under
- - -213+158
47
Over / Under
- - -204+152
47.5
Over / Under
- - -185+135
48
Over / Under
- - -179+130
48.5
Over / Under
- - -172+124
49
Over / Under
- - -161+121
49.5
Over / Under
- - -154+115
50
Over / Under
- - -147+108
50.5
Over / Under
- - -139-102
51
Over / Under
- - -130-110
51.5
Over / Under
- -110-110 -109-111
52
Over / Under
- - -105-135
52.5
Over / Under
- - -102-139
53
Over / Under
- - +100-141
53.5
Over / Under
- - +102-143
54
Over / Under
- - +112-152
54.5
Over / Under
- - +118-159
55
Over / Under
- - +123-169
55.5
Over / Under
- - +128-179
56
Over / Under
- - +135-185
56.5
Over / Under
- - +142-192
57
Over / Under
- - +158-213
57.5
Over / Under
- - +165-233
58
Over / Under
- - +175-250
58.5
Over / Under
- - +185-263
59
Over / Under
- - +190-278
59.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278
60
Over / Under
- - +212-303
60.5
Over / Under
- - +218-312
61
Over / Under
- - +242-357
61.5
Over / Under
- - +248-370
62
Over / Under
- - +262-385
62.5
Over / Under
- - +270-400
63
Over / Under
- - +288-455
63.5
Over / Under
- - +292-455
64
Over / Under
- - +328-526
64.5
Over / Under
- - +332-526
65
Over / Under
- - +355-625
65.5
Over / Under
- - +365-625
66
Over / Under
- - +385-667

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.