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Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars odds

Houston
Texans
SM rating 1534 · #16
34 – 31
Final
Jaguars -2.5 did not cover
Over 41.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 18
9:30 AM ET
Wembley Stadium (neutral)
Jacksonville
Jaguars
SM rating 1607 · #6
HOU 41%JAX 59%
Fair moneyline
+144 / -144
HOU / JAX, no vig
Market win %
44% / 56%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
JAX +3 pts
SharpModels 59% · market 56% (no vig)
Ratings
1534 / 1607
HOU / JAX, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Texans
Moneyline
+121
bet365
+120 +118 +121
Jaguars
Moneyline
-139
FanDuel
-143 -139 -143
Texans
Spread
+2.5-102
DraftKings
+2.5-102 +2.5-108 +2.5-108
Jaguars
Spread
-2.5-112
bet365
-2.5-119 -2.5-112 -2.5-112
Over
Total
41.5-114
bet365
- 41.5-115 41.5-114
Under
Total
41.5-105
FanDuel
- 41.5-105 41.5-108
Margin
Moneyline
3.3% 4.1%3.9%3.9%
MarketBest
Texans
Moneyline
+114
bet365
+110 +114
Jaguars
Moneyline
-132
DraftKings
-132 -133
Texans
Spread
+0.5-111
DraftKings
+0.5-111 +0.5-112
Jaguars
Spread
-0.5-108
bet365
-0.5-111 -0.5-108
Over
Total
20.5-105
bet365
- 20.5-105
Under
Total
20.5-115
bet365
- 20.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.5% 4.3%3.7%
MarketBest
Texans
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+102 +105
Jaguars
Moneyline
-123
DraftKings
-123 -125
Texans
Spread
+0.5-154
bet365
+0.5-156 +0.5-154
Jaguars
Spread
-0.5+130
bet365
-0.5+130 -0.5+130
Over
Total
7.5+105
bet365
- 7.5+105
Under
Total
7.5-125
bet365
- 7.5-125
Margin
Moneyline
3.8% 4.5%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

JAX line
-12.5
HOU +12.5
+296-455 - -
-11.5
HOU +11.5
+273-417 - -
-10.5
HOU +10.5
+250-370 - -
-9.5
HOU +9.5
+217-312 - -
-8.5
HOU +8.5
+204-294 - -
-7.5
HOU +7.5
+185-256 - -
-6.5
HOU +6.5
+152-208 - -
-5.5
HOU +5.5
+134-182 - -
-4.5
HOU +4.5
+123-167 - -
-3.5
HOU +3.5
+110-147 - -
-2.5
HOU +2.5
-119-102 -112-108 -112-108
-1.5
HOU +1.5
-133+100 - -
+1.5
HOU -1.5
-167+124 - -
+2.5
HOU -2.5
-185+136 - -
+3.5
HOU -3.5
-256+185 - -
+4.5
HOU -4.5
-286+200 - -
+5.5
HOU -5.5
-303+211 - -
+6.5
HOU -6.5
-357+240 - -
+7.5
HOU -7.5
-455+290 - -

Top number: JAX at that line; bottom: HOU at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
27
Over / Under
- - -1111+570
27.5
Over / Under
- - -909+495
28
Over / Under
- - -909+490
28.5
Over / Under
- - -833+470
29
Over / Under
- - -769+450
29.5
Over / Under
- - -625+370
30
Over / Under
- - -625+355
30.5
Over / Under
- - -500+316
31
Over / Under
- - -476+312
31.5
Over / Under
- - -455+292
32
Over / Under
- - -455+288
32.5
Over / Under
- - -417+272
33
Over / Under
- - -385+262
33.5
Over / Under
- - -323+222
34
Over / Under
- - -312+218
34.5
Over / Under
- - -294+208
35
Over / Under
- - -294+205
35.5
Over / Under
- - -270+188
36
Over / Under
- - -256+180
36.5
Over / Under
- - -227+162
37
Over / Under
- - -204+152
37.5
Over / Under
- - -185+135
38
Over / Under
- - -179+130
38.5
Over / Under
- - -175+125
39
Over / Under
- - -161+121
39.5
Over / Under
- - -152+112
40
Over / Under
- - -145+105
40.5
Over / Under
- - -139-102
41
Over / Under
- - -135-105
41.5
Over / Under
- -115-105 -114-108
42
Over / Under
- - -112-128
42.5
Over / Under
- -104-118 -110-130
43
Over / Under
- - +100-141
43.5
Over / Under
- - +110-149
44
Over / Under
- - +121-161
44.5
Over / Under
- - +125-175
45
Over / Under
- - +132-182
45.5
Over / Under
- - +135-185
46
Over / Under
- - +148-196
46.5
Over / Under
- - +152-204
47
Over / Under
- - +168-233
47.5
Over / Under
- - +175-250
48
Over / Under
- - +185-263
48.5
Over / Under
- - +186-263
49
Over / Under
- - +205-294
49.5
Over / Under
- - +212-303
50
Over / Under
- - +236-345
50.5
Over / Under
- - +244-357
51
Over / Under
- - +270-400
51.5
Over / Under
- - +274-417
52
Over / Under
- - +288-455
52.5
Over / Under
- - +292-455
53
Over / Under
- - +328-526
53.5
Over / Under
- - +332-526
54
Over / Under
- - +350-588
54.5
Over / Under
- - +360-625
55
Over / Under
- - +390-667
55.5
Over / Under
- - +395-714
56
Over / Under
- - +430-769

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.