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Pittsburgh Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds

Pittsburgh
Steelers
SM rating 1559 · #13
26 – 19
Final
Steelers -2.5 covered
Over 37.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, October 18
1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
SM rating 1467 · #18
PIT 52%TB 48%
Fair moneyline
-110 / +110
PIT / TB, no vig
Market win %
56% / 44%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
TB +4 pts
SharpModels 48% · market 44% (no vig)
Ratings
1559 / 1467
PIT / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Steelers
Moneyline
-137
bet365
-143 -143 -137
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+120
DraftKings
+120 +120 +117
Steelers
Spread
-1.5-120
FanDuel
-2.5-116 -1.5-120 -2.5-112
Buccaneers
Spread
+2.5-105
DraftKings
+2.5-105 +1.5-102 +2.5-108
Over
Total
37.5-111
bet365
- 37.5-112 37.5-111
Under
Total
37.5-108
FanDuel
- 37.5-108 37.5-109
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.1%4.1%3.7%
MarketBest
Steelers
Moneyline
-120
DraftKings
-120 -125
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+105
bet365
+100 +105
Steelers
Spread
-0.5-102
DraftKings
-0.5-102 -0.5-103
Buccaneers
Spread
+0.5-118
bet365
+0.5-119 +0.5-118
Over
Total
19.5-101
bet365
- 19.5-101
Under
Total
19.5-119
bet365
- 19.5-119
Margin
Moneyline
3.2% 4.3%4.2%
MarketBest
Steelers
Moneyline
-112
DraftKings
-112 -120
Buccaneers
Moneyline
+100
bet365
-109 +100
Steelers
Spread
-0.5+145
bet365
-0.5+142 -0.5+145
Buccaneers
Spread
+0.5-169
bet365
+0.5-172 +0.5-169
Over
Total
7.5+125
bet365
- 7.5+125
Under
Total
7.5-149
bet365
- 7.5-149
Margin
Moneyline
2.8% 4.7%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-7.5
PIT +7.5
+296-455 - -
-6.5
PIT +6.5
+240-357 - -
-5.5
PIT +5.5
+210-303 - -
-4.5
PIT +4.5
+193-270 - -
-3.5
PIT +3.5
+172-238 - -
-2.5
PIT +2.5
+129-175 - -
-1.5
PIT +1.5
+119-161 - -
+1.5
PIT -1.5
-108-125 -102-120 -
+2.5
PIT -2.5
-105-116 - -108-112
+3.5
PIT -3.5
-159+118 - -
+4.5
PIT -4.5
-182+134 - -
+5.5
PIT -5.5
-200+146 - -
+6.5
PIT -6.5
-227+166 - -
+7.5
PIT -7.5
-294+205 - -
+8.5
PIT -8.5
-323+225 - -
+9.5
PIT -9.5
-357+242 - -
+10.5
PIT -10.5
-435+281 - -
+11.5
PIT -11.5
-476+306 - -
+12.5
PIT -12.5
-526+331 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: PIT at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
23
Over / Under
- - -1667+715
23.5
Over / Under
- - -1111+570
24
Over / Under
- - -1111+565
24.5
Over / Under
- - -909+525
25
Over / Under
- - -909+520
25.5
Over / Under
- - -833+480
26
Over / Under
- - -833+470
26.5
Over / Under
- - -714+410
27
Over / Under
- - -714+395
27.5
Over / Under
- - -556+344
28
Over / Under
- - -556+342
28.5
Over / Under
- - -526+332
29
Over / Under
- - -500+320
29.5
Over / Under
- - -417+272
30
Over / Under
- - -385+262
30.5
Over / Under
- - -323+222
31
Over / Under
- - -312+218
31.5
Over / Under
- - -294+208
32
Over / Under
- - -294+205
32.5
Over / Under
- - -278+190
33
Over / Under
- - -256+180
33.5
Over / Under
- - -213+158
34
Over / Under
- - -208+155
34.5
Over / Under
- - -200+150
35
Over / Under
- - -192+142
35.5
Over / Under
- - -185+135
36
Over / Under
- - -172+124
36.5
Over / Under
- - -154+115
37
Over / Under
- - -143+102
37.5
Over / Under
- -112-108 -111-109
38
Over / Under
- - -118-122
38.5
Over / Under
- -105-115 -115-125
39
Over / Under
- - -112-128
39.5
Over / Under
- - -108-132
40
Over / Under
- - +102-143
40.5
Over / Under
- - +108-147
41
Over / Under
- - +118-159
41.5
Over / Under
- - +122-164
42
Over / Under
- - +128-179
42.5
Over / Under
- - +132-182
43
Over / Under
- - +152-204
43.5
Over / Under
- - +160-222
44
Over / Under
- - +175-250
44.5
Over / Under
- - +185-263
45
Over / Under
- - +190-278
45.5
Over / Under
- - +200-278
46
Over / Under
- - +212-303
46.5
Over / Under
- - +218-312
47
Over / Under
- - +244-357
47.5
Over / Under
- - +254-385
48
Over / Under
- - +270-400
48.5
Over / Under
- - +272-417
49
Over / Under
- - +292-455
49.5
Over / Under
- - +300-455
50
Over / Under
- - +336-526
50.5
Over / Under
- - +344-556
51
Over / Under
- - +380-667
51.5
Over / Under
- - +390-667
52
Over / Under
- - +410-714

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.