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New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins odds

New England
Patriots
SM rating 1599 · #8
@
Sunday, November 1
4:25 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
Miami
Dolphins
SM rating 1371 · #28
saysFull matchup analysis →
NE 69%MIA 31%
Fair moneyline
-222 / +222
NE / MIA, no vig
Market win %
76% / 24%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
MIA +7 pts
SharpModels 31% · market 24% (no vig)
Ratings
1599 / 1371
NE / MIA, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something, so the injury list is the first place to look.

Game lines

Updated 2:21 PM ET
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -370
FanDuel
 -395 -370 -375 -435 -385 -385 -376
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +325
BetRivers
 +310 +295 +290 +325 +290 +300 +285
Patriots
Spread
 -7.5-102
FanDuel
 -7.5-105 -7.5-102 -7-115 -7.5-110 -7-116 -7.5-106 -6.5-127
Dolphins
Spread
 +7-102
BetMGM
 +7.5-115 +7.5-120 +7-102 +7.5-113 +7-105 +7.5-114 +6.5+104
Over
Total
 44.5-108
DraftKings
 44.5-108 44.5-110 44.5-110 44.5-113 44.5-111 44.5-110 44.5-113
Under
Total
 44.5-108
BetMGM
 44.5-112 44.5-110 44.5-108 44.5-110 44.5-111 44.5-110 44.5-108
Margin
Moneyline
 2.2% 4.0%3.9%4.4%4.6%4.8%4.2%4.7%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -235
BetMGM
 -245 -280 -235 -265 -250 -263
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +215
FanDuel
 +200 +215 +200 +200 +200 +210
Patriots
Spread
 -4.5+100
FanDuel
 -3.5-120 -4.5+100 -3.5-120 -4.5-105 -4.5-105 -4.5-110
Dolphins
Spread
 +3.5+100
DraftKings
 +3.5+100 +4.5-120 +3.5+100 +4.5-118 +4.5-120 +4.5-110
Over
Total
 22.5-107
BetRivers
 22.5-108 22.5-110 22.5-108 22.5-107 22.5-116 22.5-109
Under
Total
 22.5-110
BetMGM
 22.5-112 22.5-110 22.5-110 22.5-115 22.5-116 22.5-111
Margin
Moneyline
 1.9% 4.2%5.2%3.4%5.6%4.5%4.5%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -240
FanDuel
 -240
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +200
FanDuel
 +200
Patriots
Spread
 -3.5-120
FanDuel
 -3.5-120
Dolphins
Spread
 +3.5+100
FanDuel
 +3.5+100
Over
Total
 22.5-110
FanDuel
 22.5-110
Under
Total
 22.5-110
FanDuel
 22.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
 3.8% 3.8%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -204
bet365
 -205 -205 -210 -220 -217 -204
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +175
BetMGM
 +170 +164 +175 +170 +160 +170
Patriots
Spread
 -1.5-106
FanDuel
 -1.5-110 -1.5-106 -2.5-110 -2.5-112 -2.5-111 -2.5-110
Dolphins
Spread
 +2.5-108
BetMGM
 +1.5-110 +1.5-116 +2.5-108 +2.5-110 +2.5-111 +2.5-110
Over
Total
 7.5+100
bet365
 8.5-110 7.5-102 8.5-110 7.5-105 7.5-116 7.5+100
Under
Total
 8.5-110
DraftKings
 8.5-110 7.5-120 8.5-110 7.5-121 7.5-116 7.5-120
Margin
Moneyline
 3.4% 4.1%4.8%3.9%5.5%6.5%4.0%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -230
FanDuel
 -230
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +184
FanDuel
 +184
Patriots
Spread
 -3.5+106
FanDuel
 -3.5+106
Dolphins
Spread
 +3.5-128
FanDuel
 +3.5-128
Over
Total
 13.5+102
FanDuel
 13.5+102
Under
Total
 13.5-124
FanDuel
 13.5-124
Margin
Moneyline
 4.7% 4.7%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -220
FanDuel
 -220
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +176
FanDuel
 +176
Patriots
Spread
 -2.5-112
FanDuel
 -2.5-112
Dolphins
Spread
 +2.5-108
FanDuel
 +2.5-108
Over
Total
 9.5-110
FanDuel
 9.5-110
Under
Total
 9.5-110
FanDuel
 9.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
 4.7% 4.7%
MarketBest
Patriots
Moneyline
 -180
FanDuel
 -180
Dolphins
Moneyline
 +146
FanDuel
 +146
Patriots
Spread
 -1.5-108
FanDuel
 -1.5-108
Dolphins
Spread
 +1.5-112
FanDuel
 +1.5-112
Over
Total
 12.5-124
FanDuel
 12.5-124
Under
Total
 12.5+102
FanDuel
 12.5+102
Margin
Moneyline
 4.7% 4.7%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Shortening drifting: a book's price or line moved in the last 6 hours (by at least a point of implied chance, or a line). Arrows point the way the number moved, next to the line when the line moved; hover or tap for what it was.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Kalshi prices include an estimate of Kalshi's trading fee, so they show what the bet costs. How we price Kalshi

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

MIA line
-3
NE +3
 - - +450-700 +550-910 +430-714 - -
-2.5
NE +2.5
 +363-584 +340-500 +340-500 +410-590 +330-500 - +335-488
-2
NE +2
 - - +333-500 +400-590 +330-500 - -
-1.5
NE +1.5
 +323-501 +320-460 +310-450 +360-500 +310-455 - +317-456
-1
NE +1
 - - +300-450 +350-500 +290-435 - -
-0.5
NE +0.5
 - - - +325-455 - - -
+0.5
NE -0.5
 - - - +310-420 - - -
+1
NE -1
 - - +260-375 +300-420 +265-385 - -
+1.5
NE -1.5
 +243-351 +250-340 +240-325 +275-360 +240-333 - +245-317
+2
NE -2
 - - +230-325 +265-345 +235-323 - -
+2.5
NE -2.5
 +216-306 +220-295 +220-300 +240-315 +215-286 - +203-257
+3
NE -3
 - - +195-275 +220-278 +200-270 - -
+3.5
NE -3.5
 +154-209 +168-220 +155-210 +175-220 +160-208 - +156-194
+4
NE -4
 - - +150-200 +165-210 +150-192 - -
+4.5
NE -4.5
 +136-182 +146-188 +135-185 +148-186 +135-172 - +133-163
+5
NE -5
 - - +130-175 +143-177 +130-161 - -
+5.5
NE -5.5
 +122-163 +132-170 +120-160 +133-165 +125-156 - +117-144
+6
NE -6
 - - +115-150 +125-155 +115-141 - -
+6.5
NE -6.5
 +107-142 +110-140 +105-140 +116-143 +105-125 - +104-127
+7
NE -7
 - - -102-115 +102-127 -105-116 - -
+7.5
NE -7.5
 -115-105 -120-102 -125-105 -113-110 -116-105 -114-106 -133+108
+8
NE -8
 - - -135+100 -121-103 -125+105 - -
+8.5
NE -8.5
 -134+101 -142+112 -145+110 -130+106 -135+110 - -
+9
NE -9
 - - -145+110 -134+108 -141+115 - -
+9.5
NE -9.5
 -143+108 -150+118 -150+115 -137+112 -141+115 - -156+127
+10
NE -10
 - - -165+125 -152+123 -161+130 - -
+10.5
NE -10.5
 -171+128 -178+138 -175+135 -162+130 -175+140 - -194+156
+11
NE -11
 - - -190+145 -175+140 -192+150 - -
+11.5
NE -11.5
 -189+140 -194+150 -200+150 -182+145 -196+155 - -
+12
NE -12
 - - -210+155 -190+150 -208+160 - -
+12.5
NE -12.5
 -206+152 -215+164 -210+160 -200+155 -213+165 - -
+13
NE -13
 - - -235+170 -210+165 -227+175 - -
+13.5
NE -13.5
 -227+166 -245+186 -235+180 -220+170 -238+180 - -233+186
+14
NE -14
 - - -275+200 -250+195 -286+210 - -
+14.5
NE -14.5
 -275+197 -295+220 -300+220 -265+205 -286+215 - -285+223
+15
NE -15
 - - -325+230 -278+215 -312+230 - -
+15.5
NE -15.5
 -303+214 -330+240 -325+240 -286+220 -323+235 - -
+16
NE -16
 - - -350+260 -305+235 -357+250 - -
+16.5
NE -16.5
 -332+232 -350+255 -375+260 -315+240 -357+250 - -335+257
+17
NE -17
 - - -425+300 -360+270 -400+280 - -
+17.5
NE -17.5
 -397+269 -440+310 -450+310 -375+280 -435+290 - -400+300
+18
NE -18
 - - -500+340 -420+300 -455+310 - -

Top number: MIA at that line; bottom: NE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
30
Over / Under
 - - - - -1000+550 -1111+565 -
30.5
Over / Under
 -1140+561 -1000+560 - - -769+450 -833+465 -
31
Over / Under
 - - - - -769+450 -833+460 -
31.5
Over / Under
 -950+505 -850+500 - - -667+410 -714+415 -
32
Over / Under
 - - - - -667+410 -714+410 -
32.5
Over / Under
 -810+456 -750+450 - - -625+390 -667+390 -733+488
33
Over / Under
 - - - - -588+375 -667+375 -
33.5
Over / Under
 -620+379 -590+390 - - -476+320 -526+332 -
34
Over / Under
 - - - - -476+320 -500+324 -
34.5
Over / Under
 -519+333 -480+330 -450+300 - -435+290 -455+300 -
35
Over / Under
 - - -450+300 - -400+280 -455+292 -
35.5
Over / Under
 -450+297 -430+300 -400+280 - -385+265 -417+275 -426+317
36
Over / Under
 - - -375+270 - -357+250 -417+272 -
36.5
Over / Under
 -373+256 -370+265 -350+240 - -323+235 -357+244 -
37
Over / Under
 - - -325+230 - -303+220 -345+232 -
37.5
Over / Under
 -301+213 -310+220 -275+200 - -270+200 -286+202 -
38
Over / Under
 - - -275+195 - -250+190 -278+190 -
38.5
Over / Under
 -269+193 -265+200 -250+185 - -238+180 -263+185 -257+194
39
Over / Under
 - - -235+180 - -227+175 -256+180 -
39.5
Over / Under
 -234+171 -235+180 -225+165 - -213+165 -233+168 -
40
Over / Under
 - - -210+160 - -208+160 -222+160 -
40.5
Over / Under
 -202+149 -200+154 -200+145 -186+150 -182+145 -200+150 -
41
Over / Under
 - - -185+138 - -175+140 -189+140 -
41.5
Over / Under
 -172+128 -170+134 -165+125 -162+130 -161+130 -175+125 -163+133
42
Over / Under
 - - -160+120 - -156+125 -169+123 -
42.5
Over / Under
 -157+117 -158+124 -155+115 -148+120 -147+120 -161+121 -150+117
43
Over / Under
 - - -145+110 - -141+115 -152+112 -
43.5
Over / Under
 -133+100 -132+104 -135+100 -129+105 -125+105 -141+100 -127+104
44
Over / Under
 - - -125-105 - -120+100 -132-108 -
44.5
Over / Under
 -108-112 -110-110 -110-108 -113-110 -111-111 -110-110 -113-108
45
Over / Under
 - - -108-120 - -105-116 -108-132 -
45.5
Over / Under
 -102-131 +100-128 -102-130 -103-122 +100-120 -105-135 +104-127
46
Over / Under
 - - +100-135 - +105-125 -102-139 -
46.5
Over / Under
 +109-146 +110-140 +105-140 +108-134 +110-135 +100-141 +113-144
47
Over / Under
 - - +115-150 - +115-141 +110-149 -
47.5
Over / Under
 +128-172 +130-166 +120-165 - +125-156 +121-161 +127-163
48
Over / Under
 - - +130-175 - +130-161 +124-172 -
48.5
Over / Under
 +143-194 +146-188 +138-185 - +135-172 +130-179 -
49
Over / Under
 - - +145-200 - +140-175 +138-189 -
49.5
Over / Under
 +161-219 +164-215 +150-200 - +145-182 +142-192 -
50
Over / Under
 - - +160-220 - +155-196 +158-213 -
50.5
Over / Under
 +182-252 +186-245 +165-225 - +165-213 +162-227 +186-233
51
Over / Under
 - - +185-250 - +180-238 +180-256 -
51.5
Over / Under
 +217-308 +220-295 +195-275 - +185-244 +188-270 -
52
Over / Under
 - - +210-285 - +200-270 +200-278 -
52.5
Over / Under
 +240-346 +240-330 +210-295 - +200-270 +205-294 -
53
Over / Under
 - - +230-325 - +215-286 +220-323 -
53.5
Over / Under
 +270-400 +265-370 +230-325 - +220-303 +225-333 +270-355
54
Over / Under
 - - +260-350 - +235-323 +248-370 -
54.5
Over / Under
 +303-462 +300-430 +260-375 - +240-333 +254-385 -
55
Over / Under
 - - - - +265-385 +274-417 -
55.5
Over / Under
 +353-562 +350-520 - - +280-400 +280-435 -
56
Over / Under
 - - - - +290-435 +300-455 -
56.5
Over / Under
 +383-630 +390-590 - - +290-435 +304-476 +376-525
57
Over / Under
 - - - - +330-500 +342-556 -
57.5
Over / Under
 +441-770 +430-670 - - +350-526 +348-588 -
58
Over / Under
 - - - - +375-588 +380-667 -
58.5
Over / Under
 +496-920 +480-800 - - +390-625 +390-667 -
59
Over / Under
 - - - - +410-667 +415-714 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.

Team totals

Team
Patriots - O/U 26.5-125 / -102 - O/U 26.5-130 / -104 - - -
Dolphins - O/U 17.5-113 / -113 - O/U 17.5-112 / -121 - - -

Line movement