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Cincinnati Bengals vs Atlanta Falcons odds

Cincinnati
Bengals
SM rating 1561 · #12
@
Sunday, November 8
9:30 AM ET
Santiago Bernabéu (neutral)
Atlanta
Falcons
SM rating 1462 · #19
CIN 62%ATL 38%
Fair moneyline
-161 / +161
CIN / ATL, no vig
Market win %
60% / 40%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CIN +1 pts
SharpModels 62% · market 60% (no vig)
Ratings
1561 / 1462
CIN / ATL, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something, so the injury list is the first place to look.

Game lines

Updated 8:21 PM ET
MarketBest
Bengals
Moneyline
-166
DraftKings
-166 -174 -175 -178
Falcons
Moneyline
+146
FanDuel
+140 +146 +140 +138
Bengals
Spread
-3-115
BetRivers
-3-120 -3-115 -3-115 -
Falcons
Spread
+3+100
DraftKings
+3+100 +3-105 +3-106 -
Over
Total
49.5-109
BetRivers
49.5-110 49.5-110 49.5-109 -
Under
Total
49.5-110
DraftKings
49.5-110 49.5-110 49.5-112 -
Margin
Moneyline
3.0% 3.9%4.0%5.0%5.7%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Shortening drifting: a book's price or line moved in the last 6 hours (by at least a point of implied chance, or a line). Arrows point the way the number moved, next to the line when the line moved; hover or tap for what it was.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Kalshi prices include an estimate of Kalshi's trading fee, so they show what the bet costs. How we price Kalshi

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

ATL line
+3
CIN -3
+100-120 -105-115 -106-115 -

Top number: ATL at that line; bottom: CIN at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
49.5
Over / Under
-110-110 -110-110 -109-112 -

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.

Line movement