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Cleveland Browns at Tampa Bay Buccaneers odds

Cleveland
Browns
SM rating 1429 · #21
23 – 19
Final
Buccaneers -8.5 did not cover
Over 41.5
vs the most common closing line
Sunday, September 20
1:00 PM ET
Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
SM rating 1467 · #18
CLE 31%TB 69%
Fair moneyline
+219 / -219
CLE / TB, no vig
Market win %
22% / 78%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
CLE +9 pts
SharpModels 31% · market 22% (no vig)
Ratings
1429 / 1467
CLE / TB, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Browns
Moneyline
+340
FanDuel
+330 +340 +320
Buccaneers
Moneyline
-400
bet365
-435 -435 -400
Browns
Spread
+8.5-115
bet365
+8.5-116 +8.5-122 +8.5-115
Buccaneers
Spread
-8.5+100
FanDuel
-8.5-105 -8.5+100 -8.5-105
Over
Total
41.5-106
FanDuel
- 41.5-106 41.5-110
Under
Total
41.5-110
bet365
- 41.5-114 41.5-110
Margin
Moneyline
2.7% 4.4%3.9%3.7%
MarketBest
Browns
Moneyline
+240
DraftKings
+240 +235
Buccaneers
Moneyline
-294
bet365
-303 -294
Browns
Spread
+5.5-112
DraftKings
+5.5-112 +4.5-105
Buccaneers
Spread
-4.5-115
bet365
-5.5-109 -4.5-115
Over
Total
20.5-105
bet365
- 20.5-105
Under
Total
20.5-115
bet365
- 20.5-115
Margin
Moneyline
3.9% 4.4%4.3%
MarketBest
Browns
Moneyline
+210
DraftKings
+210 +190
Buccaneers
Moneyline
-233
bet365
-263 -233
Browns
Spread
+2.5+100
bet365
+2.5+100 +2.5+100
Buccaneers
Spread
-2.5-120
bet365
-2.5-120 -2.5-120
Over
Total
7.5+105
bet365
- 7.5+105
Under
Total
7.5-125
bet365
- 7.5-125
Margin
Moneyline
2.2% 4.5%4.3%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

TB line
-18.5
CLE +18.5
+273-417 - -
-17.5
CLE +17.5
+245-357 - -
-16.5
CLE +16.5
+212-303 - -
-15.5
CLE +15.5
+194-270 - -
-14.5
CLE +14.5
+177-250 - -
-13.5
CLE +13.5
+150-204 - -
-12.5
CLE +12.5
+135-185 - -
-11.5
CLE +11.5
+125-169 - -
-10.5
CLE +10.5
+114-152 - -
-9.5
CLE +9.5
-103-130 - -
-8.5
CLE +8.5
-105-116 +100-122 -105-115
-7.5
CLE +7.5
-123-109 - -
-6.5
CLE +6.5
-152+114 - -
-5.5
CLE +5.5
-175+130 - -
-4.5
CLE +4.5
-196+143 - -
-3.5
CLE +3.5
-222+161 - -
-2.5
CLE +2.5
-312+219 - -
-1.5
CLE +1.5
-357+243 - -
+1.5
CLE -1.5
-476+306 - -

Top number: TB at that line; bottom: CLE at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
27
Over / Under
- - -1111+575
27.5
Over / Under
- - -833+480
28
Over / Under
- - -833+475
28.5
Over / Under
- - -833+455
29
Over / Under
- - -769+445
29.5
Over / Under
- - -667+380
30
Over / Under
- - -625+365
30.5
Over / Under
- - -500+325
31
Over / Under
- - -476+322
31.5
Over / Under
- - -455+295
32
Over / Under
- - -435+290
32.5
Over / Under
- - -400+276
33
Over / Under
- - -385+265
33.5
Over / Under
- - -323+235
34
Over / Under
- - -303+228
34.5
Over / Under
- - -286+210
35
Over / Under
- - -278+205
35.5
Over / Under
- - -263+190
36
Over / Under
- - -256+182
36.5
Over / Under
- - -227+170
37
Over / Under
- - -200+160
37.5
Over / Under
- - -175+140
38
Over / Under
- - -167+135
38.5
Over / Under
- - -161+132
39
Over / Under
- - -154+125
39.5
Over / Under
- - -145+116
40
Over / Under
- - -139+110
40.5
Over / Under
- - -122+101
41
Over / Under
- - -116-104
41.5
Over / Under
- -106-114 -110-110
42
Over / Under
- - -105-115
42.5
Over / Under
- - +100-120
43
Over / Under
- - +108-135
43.5
Over / Under
- - +116-145
44
Over / Under
- - +128-159
44.5
Over / Under
- - +136-169
45
Over / Under
- - +142-179
45.5
Over / Under
- - +147-185
46
Over / Under
- - +156-196
46.5
Over / Under
- - +162-204
47
Over / Under
- - +174-233
47.5
Over / Under
- - +182-256
48
Over / Under
- - +195-270
48.5
Over / Under
- - +205-278
49
Over / Under
- - +220-294
49.5
Over / Under
- - +225-303
50
Over / Under
- - +248-345
50.5
Over / Under
- - +255-357
51
Over / Under
- - +280-417
51.5
Over / Under
- - +290-435
52
Over / Under
- - +314-455
52.5
Over / Under
- - +316-476
53
Over / Under
- - +336-526
53.5
Over / Under
- - +340-556
54
Over / Under
- - +370-625
54.5
Over / Under
- - +380-667
55
Over / Under
- - +415-714
55.5
Over / Under
- - +425-769
56
Over / Under
- - +455-833

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.