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Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers odds

Washington
Commanders
SM rating 1397 · #26
17 – 23
Final
49ers -7.5 did not cover
Under 51.5
vs the most common closing line
Monday, October 19
8:15 PM ET
Levi's Stadium
San Francisco
49ers
SM rating 1639 · #5
WSH 17%SF 83%
Fair moneyline
+476 / -476
WSH / SF, no vig
Market win %
23% / 77%
No-vig average of the books
Model vs market
SF +6 pts
SharpModels 83% · market 77% (no vig)
Ratings
1397 / 1639
WSH / SF, SharpModels

SharpModels is a benchmark built only from team ratings: it doesn't see injuries, rest or lineup news. When it and the market disagree, the market often knows something.

Closing lines

This game was played before we started collecting prices (22 October 2026), so we have its closing prices only, from DraftKings, FanDuel and bet365: no line movement or player props. A price can differ from the book's own by a cent or two.

MarketBest
Commanders
Moneyline
+320
DraftKings
+320 +310 +310
49ers
Moneyline
-385
bet365
-417 -385 -385
Commanders
Spread
+7.5-119
DraftKings
+7.5-119 +7.5-122 +7.5-120
49ers
Spread
-7.5+100
bet365
-7.5-102 -7.5+100 -7.5+100
Over
Total
51.5-111
bet365
51.5-111 51.5-112 51.5-111
Under
Total
51.5-108
FanDuel
51.5-111 51.5-108 51.5-109
Margin
Moneyline
3.1% 4.3%3.6%3.6%
MarketBest
Commanders
Moneyline
+205
bet365
+205 +205
49ers
Moneyline
-250
bet365
-250 -250
Commanders
Spread
+4.5-118
bet365
+4.5-120 +4.5-118
49ers
Spread
-4.5+100
DraftKings
-4.5+100 -4.5-102
Over
Total
26.5-102
DraftKings
26.5-102 26.5-103
Under
Total
26.5-118
bet365
26.5-119 26.5-118
Margin
Moneyline
4.0% 4.0%4.0%
MarketBest
Commanders
Moneyline
+170
DraftKings
+170 +165
49ers
Moneyline
-200
bet365
-208 -200
Commanders
Spread
+2.5-105
DraftKings
+2.5-105 +2.5-110
49ers
Spread
-2.5-110
bet365
-2.5-116 -2.5-110
Over
Total
9.5-143
DraftKings
9.5-143 9.5-149
Under
Total
9.5+125
bet365
9.5+120 9.5+125
Margin
Moneyline
3.6% 4.4%4.2%

Margin: how much a book builds into its moneyline (its implied chances add up to more than 100%). Lower is fairer; the lowest is in green. Under Best, the margin if you took the best price on each side.

Every price change, book by book: tap the table icon by any selection, line, team total or player.

Best spread and total weigh the line against the price: a better line is worth paying a little more for, most of all onto key numbers (getting off or onto 3 in the NFL is worth about 15-20 cents). Moneyline: simply the best price.

Alternate lines

SF line
-17.5
WSH +17.5
+292-455 - -
-16.5
WSH +16.5
+256-385 - -
-15.5
WSH +15.5
+235-345 - -
-14.5
WSH +14.5
+215-312 - -
-13.5
WSH +13.5
+178-250 - -
-12.5
WSH +12.5
+160-222 - -
-11.5
WSH +11.5
+147-200 - -
-10.5
WSH +10.5
+133-182 - -
-9.5
WSH +9.5
+111-149 - -
-8.5
WSH +8.5
+103-139 - -
-7.5
WSH +7.5
-102-119 +100-122 +100-120
-6.5
WSH +6.5
-152+113 - -
-5.5
WSH +5.5
-172+127 - -
-4.5
WSH +4.5
-189+139 - -
-3.5
WSH +3.5
-213+156 - -
-2.5
WSH +2.5
-333+229 - -
-1.5
WSH +1.5
-385+258 - -
+1.5
WSH -1.5
-526+329 - -
+2.5
WSH -2.5
-588+360 - -

Top number: SF at that line; bottom: WSH at the opposite line. Gold = best top number.

Total
37
Over / Under
- - -909+510
37.5
Over / Under
-1000+502 - -714+415
38
Over / Under
- - -714+410
38.5
Over / Under
-833+455 - -667+380
39
Over / Under
- - -667+375
39.5
Over / Under
-714+407 - -588+350
40
Over / Under
- - -556+344
40.5
Over / Under
-588+353 - -500+316
41
Over / Under
- - -476+308
41.5
Over / Under
-476+309 - -417+274
42
Over / Under
- - -417+272
42.5
Over / Under
-435+282 - -385+262
43
Over / Under
- - -370+248
43.5
Over / Under
-357+239 - -323+222
44
Over / Under
- - -303+212
44.5
Over / Under
-294+207 - -270+188
45
Over / Under
- - -263+186
45.5
Over / Under
-263+185 - -250+175
46
Over / Under
- - -238+170
46.5
Over / Under
-233+169 - -227+162
47
Over / Under
- - -208+155
47.5
Over / Under
-196+144 - -189+140
48
Over / Under
- - -185+135
48.5
Over / Under
-175+129 - -175+125
49
Over / Under
- - -164+122
49.5
Over / Under
-154+115 - -159+120
50
Over / Under
- - -149+110
50.5
Over / Under
-135+101 - -141+100
51
Over / Under
- - -135-105
51.5
Over / Under
-111-111 -112-108 -111-109
52
Over / Under
- - -110-130
52.5
Over / Under
-104-128 - -108-132
53
Over / Under
- - -105-135
53.5
Over / Under
+108-145 - +100-141
54
Over / Under
- - +108-147
54.5
Over / Under
+122-164 - +115-154
55
Over / Under
- - +122-164
55.5
Over / Under
+139-189 - +125-175
56
Over / Under
- - +132-182
56.5
Over / Under
+151-204 - +138-189
57
Over / Under
- - +152-204
57.5
Over / Under
+174-244 - +160-222
58
Over / Under
- - +172-244
58.5
Over / Under
+197-278 - +180-256
59
Over / Under
- - +188-270
59.5
Over / Under
+219-312 - +190-278
60
Over / Under
- - +208-294
60.5
Over / Under
+239-357 - +215-312
61
Over / Under
- - +236-345
61.5
Over / Under
+273-417 - +246-370
62
Over / Under
- - +258-385
62.5
Over / Under
+303-476 - +262-385
63
Over / Under
- - +280-435
63.5
Over / Under
+341-556 - +288-455
64
Over / Under
- - +320-500
64.5
Over / Under
+378-625 - +328-526
65
Over / Under
- - +350-588
65.5
Over / Under
+438-769 - +360-625
66
Over / Under
- - +380-667

Top number: over; bottom: under. Gold = best top number.