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SharpModels rated

NFL odds

Best moneyline, spread and total for every game across the books we track, with SharpModels' win probability for each matchup.

Sunday, November 8

13 games
Sun, Nov 8, 9:30 AM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Bengals
Model 62%
-3-115BR O 49.5-105FD -168FD
Falcons
Model 38%
+3+100DK U 49.5-110DK +142DK
4 books CIN 62% vs mkt 60%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Cowboys
Model 49%
-4.5-109BR O 51.5-110BR -215BR
Colts
Model 51%
+4.5-108FD U 52.5-115FD +198FD
4 books IND 51% vs mkt 34%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Jets
Model 16%
+9.5-110DK O 42.5-110FD +405BR
Chiefs
Model 84%
-9.5-108FD U 43.5-110DK -500DK
4 books KC 84% vs mkt 80%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Lions
Model 68%
-7-115DK O 48.5-110FD -410DK
Dolphins
Model 32%
+7.5-107BR U 48.5-109BR +350BR
4 books MIA 32% vs mkt 22%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Browns
Model 49%
+2.5-102FD O 42.5-110FD +126FD
Saints
Model 51%
-2.5-110DK U 43.5-114BR -135DK
4 books CLE 49% vs mkt 43%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Giants
Model 36%
-1.5-102FD O 39.5-110FD -116FD
Eagles
Model 64%
+1.5-110DK U 40.5-110DK +104KAL
4 books PHI 64% vs mkt 48%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Rams
Model 67%
-5.5+100FD O 48.5-110DK -215FD
Commanders
Model 33%
+5.5-110DK U 48.5-109BR +190DK
4 books LAR 67% vs mkt 67%
Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Broncos
Model 71%
-2.5-110DK O 44.5-109BR -135DK
Panthers
Model 29%
+2.5-107BR U 44.5-104FD +120FD
4 books DEN 71% vs mkt 56%
Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Texans
Model 57%
-3.5-105BR O 42.5-105FD -177BR
Chargers
Model 43%
+3.5-105FD U 42.5-110DK +160FD
4 books LAC 43% vs mkt 38%
Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Raiders
Model 16%
+10.5-115BR O 48.5-110DK +480FD
49ers
Model 84%
-10-110DK U 48.5-105FD -567KAL
4 books SF 84% vs mkt 82%
Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Packers
Model 37%
+3-118DK O 47.5-110DK +130DK
Patriots
Model 63%
-2.5-114FD U 47.5-110DK -150KAL
4 books NE 63% vs mkt 57%
Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Cardinals
Model 11%
+11.5-105FD O 44.5-105FD +600BR
Seahawks
Model 89%
-10.5-110DK U 44.5-109BR -650DK
4 books SEA 89% vs mkt 85%
Sun, Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET
SpreadTotalMoney
Buccaneers
Model 30%
+6.5-110FD O 47.5-110DK +250FD
Bears
Model 70%
-6-110DK U 48.5-110FD -270DK
4 books TB 30% vs mkt 29%

How to read NFL odds

Moneyline

Who wins the game. Odds are American: -150 means you risk $150 to win $100; +130 means a $100 bet wins $130. The header switch shows them as decimal odds or an implied probability instead.

Spread

The point spread: the favorite has to win by more than the line, and the underdog covers by losing by less or winning. When books post different lines, the best price weighs the line against the odds; half a point matters most around 3 and 7, the most common winning margins.

Total

Over or under the combined points scored by both teams. The best over is the lowest line at a fair price, the best under the highest.

Best price

The gold price is the best on offer for that side across DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, BetRivers, Fanatics, bet365 and Kalshi. Taking the best price on offer means a winning bet pays more.

SharpModels

Each game shows SharpModels' win probability, a benchmark built only from team ratings. When it disagrees with the market by a lot, there's usually a reason the ratings can't see, like an injury; check the game page.

Line moves

We record every price change. Each game page charts how the spread, total and moneyline have moved at every book since we first saw them.